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Another NATO article 4 by...?

Romania Vol. $8,263 50 traders

August 3113%
October 3123%
December 3133%
$8,263 Vol. Romania

Outcomes

3
Chance
August 31
12% ▲ 3
October 31
22% ▲ 11
December 31
29% ▲ 7

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3d05…acde SELL Yes $1.39 3h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.80 3h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $3.45 3h ago
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL No $1.50 4h ago
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL No $6.75 4h ago
  • 0x92c0…9823 SELL No $1.14 4h ago
  • 0x054a…f218 BUY Yes $7.39 5h ago
  • 0x7e26…915c BUY Yes $3.29 12h ago
  • 0xd466…17dd BUY Yes $2.00 12h ago
  • 0x738a…5996 BUY Yes $32.90 12h ago
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $13.02 13h ago
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $9.12 13h ago
  • 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $5.50 13h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL Yes $2.38 15h ago
  • 0x1d77…fdbe BUY No $44.50 17h ago
  • 0x9fb7…3297 BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x9fb7…3297 BUY Yes $1.00 18h ago
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL No $1.71 18h ago
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL No $11.75 18h ago
  • 0x5c11…a98d SELL Yes $3.85 18h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $6.64 18h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.00 19h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $2.43 19h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL No $7.29 19h ago
  • 0xa815…9cbe BUY Yes $3.00 20h ago
  • 0x054a…f218 BUY Yes $20.00 20h ago
  • 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.15 20h ago
  • 0xc6e9…057f SELL Yes $1.60 20h ago
  • 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.04 20h ago
  • 0x2a79…38be SELL Yes $1.60 20h ago
  • 0x50bd…ee34 SELL Yes $0.90 21h ago
  • 0x2816…14d5 SELL Yes $1.00 21h ago
  • 0xe915…3492 SELL Yes $2.00 21h ago
  • 0xad9b…086b SELL Yes $2.00 21h ago
  • 0x288b…a5a8 SELL Yes $1.00 21h ago
  • 0x709c…ce87 SELL Yes $2.00 21h ago
  • 0x64ef…bf82 SELL Yes $2.00 21h ago
  • 0xb21d…2f06 SELL Yes $7.00 21h ago
  • 0xa815…9cbe BUY Yes $2.31 21h ago
  • 0x2d78…5b09 BUY Yes $3.00 21h ago

NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked. For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO; authoritative statements from the requesting member government may also be used.

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