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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

Oil Vol. $278,373 50 traders

0-2095%
40-601%
20-404%
80+0%
$278,373 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
0-20
86%
20-40
3%
40-60
1%
60-80
1%
80+
1% ▲ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3ec5…c370 BUY No $20.00 3h ago
  • 0x5533…51ba BUY No $0.30 4h ago
  • 0xe94b…5abe BUY Yes $117.00 5h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $14.79 9h ago
  • 0x0a8e…05a4 BUY Yes $2.98 9h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $30.00 9h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.80 9h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $49.95 9h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $2.04 9h ago
  • 0xc518…2594 BUY No $2.55 9h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $39.84 9h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $39.96 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $39.96 9h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $11.87 9h ago
  • 0x671a…2f1e BUY No $1.32 9h ago
  • 0x5edc…bbad BUY No $2.05 9h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $5.00 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $232.95 9h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $99.00 9h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $99.60 9h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $234.20 9h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $234.67 9h ago
  • 0x5a21…9318 BUY No $99.80 9h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $50.00 9h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $50.00 9h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $50.00 9h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $11.79 9h ago
  • 0xe1a3…24ea BUY Yes $100.00 9h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $235.04 9h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $39.84 9h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $1.96 9h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $235.51 9h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $39.96 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $13.99 9h ago
  • 0xa33b…17d4 SELL Yes $12.91 9h ago
  • 0x17e3…9ba5 BUY Yes $1261.41 10h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $28.56 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.66 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.30 11h ago
  • 0x43cb…84df BUY Yes $0.06 11h ago

This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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