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Bank of Japan Decision in July?

BOJ Vol. $340,571 50 traders

No change99%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
$340,571 Vol. BOJ

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
90%
25 bps increase
1%
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8d85…726f SELL No $104.06 1h ago
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $0.50 2h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $17.39 5h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $17.49 5h ago
  • 0xd1a6…1507 BUY No $0.28 5h ago
  • 0x2cfe…e4de BUY No $1.51 5h ago
  • 0xc5a8…6095 SELL Yes $0.99 6h ago
  • 0xfef9…759b SELL Yes $0.99 6h ago
  • 0x08da…239a SELL Yes $0.99 6h ago
  • 0x9db9…cfc8 SELL Yes $0.99 6h ago
  • 0x50ee…f50b SELL Yes $0.99 6h ago
  • 0xc5a8…6095 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x9db9…cfc8 BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0xfef9…759b BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x50ee…f50b BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x08da…239a BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $0.16 6h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $9.88 6h ago
  • 0x973c…a4f5 BUY Yes $3.71 6h ago
  • 0x7e59…7b8b BUY No $1.70 7h ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $32.86 7h ago
  • 0x168e…d4b9 BUY No $20.00 8h ago
  • 0xa382…44de BUY No $31.68 9h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 SELL Yes $0.90 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.14 9h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $0.84 9h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.98 9h ago
  • 0xae0d…d398 BUY Yes $5.00 9h ago
  • 0xde01…1fc6 BUY No $5.00 9h ago
  • 0xa382…44de BUY Yes $31.68 9h ago
  • 0x28d0…4955 BUY No $1.00 10h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc SELL Yes $0.12 10h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc SELL Yes $0.03 10h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $0.32 10h ago
  • 0x8373…f0bc BUY No $8.98 10h ago
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $0.99 10h ago
  • 0x3dd2…9ab1 BUY No $70.86 10h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $0.14 10h ago
  • 0xcb7e…28dd BUY Yes $1.17 10h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.98 10h ago

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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