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Best AI model on August 1?

AI Vol. $107,660 50 traders

claude-opus-4-6-thinking1%
Other99%
claude-fable-51%
claude-opus-4-61%
$107,660 Vol. AI

Outcomes

4
Chance
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
1% ▼ 9
claude-opus-4-6
1%
claude-fable-5
1%
Other
89% ▲ 8

Recent trades

40
  • 0x233b…1f2c SELL No $360.34 2h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e BUY Yes $39.40 2h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e SELL No $49.60 2h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $5.13 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $59.45 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $59.65 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $65.01 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $60.38 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $58.11 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $58.26 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $59.27 3h ago
  • 0xcb48…be6d SELL Yes $9.88 3h ago
  • 0x8a52…d74c SELL Yes $185.84 3h ago
  • 0x3d05…acde SELL No $0.11 5h ago
  • 0x58f9…746e BUY No $9.43 6h ago
  • 0xc421…eebf BUY No $9.43 6h ago
  • 0xc1fd…74d1 BUY No $9.43 6h ago
  • 0x0804…b7a4 BUY No $9.43 6h ago
  • 0xc436…3e25 BUY No $9.43 6h ago
  • 0x19bf…d619 BUY No $9.34 7h ago
  • 0x495e…b3d0 BUY No $9.34 7h ago
  • 0xf9c6…9ee8 BUY No $9.34 7h ago
  • 0x58c5…5a2f BUY No $9.34 7h ago
  • 0xd3bf…e051 BUY No $9.34 7h ago
  • 0x5244…27e9 BUY Yes $2.00 7h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e SELL No $49.55 7h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e SELL No $198.20 7h ago
  • 0x7724…0492 BUY Yes $5.00 7h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e SELL No $66.40 8h ago
  • 0x34d0…264e BUY No $4.97 8h ago
  • 0x4329…8867 SELL No $2.63 8h ago
  • 0x93a9…0b88 SELL Yes $4.42 8h ago
  • 0x59b8…11a5 SELL No $11.01 11h ago
  • 0x2799…b1e1 SELL No $0.14 11h ago
  • 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $4.95 12h ago
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 12h ago
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $10.00 12h ago
  • 0x153c…2024 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x153c…2024 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0xd6e6…263e SELL Yes $32.88 13h ago

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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