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Chance
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 155019%
↑ 1500100%
↑ 160011%
↑ 17004%
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Outcomes
9↑ 1510 Resolved
90%
▲ 14
↑ 1520
56%
▲ 7
↑ 1530
29%
▲ 1
↑ 1540
19%
▼ 5
↑ 1500 Resolved
90%
▲ 5
↑ 1550
17%
▼ 3
↑ 1600
10%
↑ 1650
7%
↑ 1700
3%
▲ 1
Recent trades
40- 0x1d08…3f18 BUY Yes $10.00 4h ago
- 0x1d08…3f18 BUY Yes $10.00 4h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $5.62 8h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $21.68 8h ago
- 0x7244…2aaf SELL Yes $3.60 9h ago
- 0x3af9…b4bb SELL Yes $3.60 9h ago
- 0xafbe…072e SELL Yes $3.60 9h ago
- 0xe086…0450 SELL Yes $6.65 9h ago
- 0x4c4e…297b BUY No $254.79 9h ago
- 0x4c4e…297b BUY Yes $164.84 9h ago
- 0xc243…5e94 SELL Yes $2.55 9h ago
- 0x42c7…c415 BUY No $1.52 9h ago
- 0x84d4…77a9 BUY No $7.50 9h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $6.40 9h ago
- 0x4c4e…297b BUY Yes $449.02 9h ago
- 0x5b7b…5116 SELL Yes $1.23 11h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $1.14 11h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $3.71 11h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $2.53 11h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $8.24 11h ago
- 0xa58d…b9b8 SELL No $11.48 11h ago
- 0xa58d…b9b8 SELL Yes $62.00 11h ago
- 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $283.53 14h ago
- 0xd416…d9e2 SELL No $21.89 14h ago
- 0x57f5…c1c9 BUY No $2.00 15h ago
- 0x9592…a7b8 BUY Yes $292.00 15h ago
- 0x0cb5…7fe7 BUY Yes $49.50 15h ago
- 0x876b…1703 BUY Yes $582.60 15h ago
- 0x4b72…38d5 BUY Yes $200.00 15h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $0.84 20h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $2.74 20h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $0.60 20h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $1.94 20h ago
- 0x4629…f3b1 SELL No $7.96 20h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $1.08 21h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $3.52 21h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL Yes $1.44 21h ago
- 0xbada…d874 SELL No $4.68 21h ago
- 0x5968…3fc4 BUY Yes $3.20 22h ago
- 0x5b7b…5116 BUY Yes $1.32 22h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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