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Chance
Clacton by-election Winner
Count Binface4%
Nigel Farage96%
John Stevens0%
Andrew Pemberton0%
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Outcomes
52Nigel Farage
87%
Giles Watling
1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
1%
Matthew Bensilum
1%
Natasha Osben
1%
Tony Mack
1%
Andrew Pemberton
1%
Count Binface
4%
William Clouston
1%
John Stevens
1%
Person D
45%
Person E
45%
Person F
45%
Person G
45%
Person H
45%
Person I
45%
Person J
45%
Person K
45%
Person L
45%
Person M
45%
Person N
45%
Person O
45%
Person P
45%
Person Q
45%
Person R
45%
Person S
45%
Person T
45%
Person U
45%
Person V
45%
Person W
45%
Person X
45%
Person Y
45%
Person Z
45%
Person AA
45%
Person AB
45%
Person AC
45%
Person AD
45%
Person AE
45%
Person AF
45%
Person AG
45%
Person AH
45%
Person AI
45%
Person AJ
45%
Person AK
45%
Person AL
45%
Person AM
45%
Person AN
45%
Person AO
45%
Person AP
45%
Person AQ
45%
Person AR
45%
Other
45%
Recent trades
40- 0x993b…deda BUY Yes $96.00 2h ago
- 0x2a93…b7ac SELL Yes $1.92 2h ago
- 0x5a79…6296 BUY Yes $960.00 2h ago
- 0xeae4…ad95 SELL No $9.05 2h ago
- 0xe8c4…395d BUY Yes $1307.52 6h ago
- 0x3908…d10e SELL Yes $1.01 7h ago
- 0xd802…d766 SELL Yes $2.06 8h ago
- 0xc326…1db1 SELL Yes $239.75 8h ago
- 0xccef…12b0 BUY Yes $1.00 9h ago
- 0x4338…5d83 BUY Yes $20.55 9h ago
- 0x5b1d…8895 BUY Yes $6.56 9h ago
- 0xb816…fab9 BUY Yes $92.23 9h ago
- 0xede0…2e3d BUY Yes $10.00 9h ago
- 0x5516…a713 BUY Yes $2.00 9h ago
- 0x5b1d…8895 BUY Yes $16.72 9h ago
- 0x0224…292a SELL Yes $10446.55 9h ago
- 0x278b…43bf BUY Yes $30.38 11h ago
- 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $250.97 13h ago
- 0xfd47…cf9c SELL Yes $1.03 13h ago
- 0xb816…fab9 BUY Yes $39.52 14h ago
- 0x55fc…132e BUY No $11.54 14h ago
- 0xb816…fab9 BUY Yes $11.28 14h ago
- 0xfd9e…5bdc SELL Yes $75.16 14h ago
- 0x451d…9780 BUY Yes $2.14 17h ago
- 0x01ff…ced8 SELL Yes $5.01 17h ago
- 0x6026…ad50 SELL No $75.46 17h ago
- 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $67.69 Jul 27
- 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $36.57 Jul 27
- 0x74f1…16a8 BUY No $36.57 Jul 27
- 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 27
- 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 27
- 0x45ce…ef95 SELL No $29.97 Jul 27
- 0x45ce…ef95 SELL No $61.09 Jul 27
- 0xd1a6…1507 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 27
- 0x45ce…ef95 SELL No $99.90 Jul 27
- 0x45ce…ef95 SELL No $61.09 Jul 27
- 0x70bc…a453 SELL No $24.98 Jul 26
- 0x70bc…a453 SELL No $95.43 Jul 26
- 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 23
- 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $0.09 Jul 23
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Comments
I hope Nigel Farage Wins; he is an absolute winner Type who Stands up for the people and Shows up with likes of Donald Trump and Gianni Infantino.
Rage baited
Let's gooo Binface!
Farage gonna win. For all the experts, I Place Limit Orders thanks
What is Ken thinking?
To be fair, nobody would want to bond Farage. Binface rlly does have a good chance.
He's probably flat and using another platform to hedge
Count Binface for the win. It's his turn!
5
Nobody should have to pay over 99p for 99 Flake ice cream IMO. Binface resonates with the voters.
This wont be enough cause Nigel Farage is the GOAT of British politics
British public more likely to prefer Count Binface wins Clacton by-election than Nigel Farage. (Ipsos)
It is about clacton though
IT'S COMING HOME IT'S COMING HOME BINFACE'S COMING HOME !!
Where were you when Binface saved Ingerland?
Nigel Farage looks so, so stupid I think the actual odds imo are closer to 35/65, it's just that the fundamentals say that a binwin is essentially impossible. But Zohran Mamdani and Hannah Spencer still happened. If 53% of the constituency bothered to show up against Farage and Reform in 2024/26 respectively I wouldn't put it past them to vote binface
Binface 35/65 Farage
Farage is the GOAT of UK politics
Considering how you can basically 10x your money on binface and the fact that the constituency has a small voting population of 79000 people, with only around 50k actually voting. I think you should bet on binface and push him on every platform online related to clacton to make binface win
No Farage should win. I heard Interviews; the voters see it differently
people of Clacton aren’t going to elect a ridiculous
You are right, that's why Farage is not winning
Farage will win
Ipsos poll just out suggests that Britons prefer Binface (33%) over Farage(21%). Unfortunately, they aren't representative of Clacton!😆
Fully agree that Farage will win indeed
The people of Clacton aren’t going to elect a ridiculous gimmick candidate, they’re going to behave like grown ups and elect Count Binface
Agreed, you have my full endorsement
ALL IN FOR THE BIN
Let’s Go Nigel Farage
😃
Binface clear mog
i have a pretty face under then bin too
Farage GOAT
LETS GO COUNT BIN FACEEEEE
comment below if u have ever actually been to clacton i wanna check something real quick
me
holy fuck its binface
🤚
Binface is in it to win it.
in it to bin it
53.8% of Clacton never voted for Nigel, still in 2026, 53% didn't vote for Reform. Those voters are coming to Farage's bed in his sleep with bats (metaphorically, of course)
In fact after allowing for the 58% turnout only 26.8% of eligible voters voted for Farage in the 2014 GE! Perhaps Binface could encourage the non-voters to turn up? However, according to the odds on this site Farage will win this easily.
Bindependence day incoming..Looks good value ..If Lawernce fox runs then he might get mogged from the right and a bin taking the centre ground..clacton is full of toothless inbred locals who most likely voted Brexit and are still not ready to admit they got conned.
I prefer Farage to the tired old mainstream parties, though my personal pick is Rupert Lowe of Restore. Still, the establishment and its loyal foot soldiers are clearly coalescing behind Count Binface. Labour mega-donor Dale Vince is reportedly bankrolling him to take on Farage, while Reform voters sit this farce out in disgust. That cynical pincer move could just shove the novelty candidate over the line. Let’s call it what it is: the political class used Farage as a battering ram against the old order when it suited them. Now that they’ve got Andy Burnham as their polished vessel, they’re ready to bin him — quite literally, via a sponsored clown in a costume. Deep state plant or useful idiot, Binface is the establishment’s latest joke candidate to kneecap the real outsider. British politics has never looked more like controlled opposition theater.
Lowe supprts Trump even after he was in the files accused by a minor who says she was trafficked to trump by Epstein. The Elite stick together sadly.
Push him over the line? He ran in Manchester a couple weeks ago and didn't even make 100 votes..
That's all you got?
Binface is way above 8% true odds. Competent joke candidate that isn't monster raving loony party, no major party competition due to boycott, Binface has allegedly has funding from Dale Vince. Nigel's PR stunt is clearly backfiring and Binface is the only available protest vote. Get em while they're cheap fellas.
Who the fuck are all those random candidates, what are their parties?
Nothing ever hapbinface
shut the fuck up bitch, go lose $-90k again, you GREEDY stupid sack ofshit
Hi there, just a friendly heads up, losing a negative amount means winning a positive amount! Have a lovely day 🤗
Hi Relay👋
GWARN BINNY! I'm rooting for you, even if I don't have enough faith to bet money on you. 😅
I am pleased to announce that I, Chad Starmer will run in the Clacton by-election. Farage will get MOGGED
What's your manifesto Chad?
We need your aura in this difficult time
IT'S COMING HOME IT'S COMING HOME BINFACE'S COMING HOME !!
where is other? ..... If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other"
Time to take out the trash.