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Chance
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election Winner
Bev Craig99%
Geraldine Coggins1%
Dan Barker0%
Marlon Scott West0%
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Outcomes
51Kate Green
1%
Laura Evans
1%
Nick Buckley
1%
Dan Barker
1%
Hannah Spencer
1%
Jake Austin
1%
Paul Dennett
1%
Bev Craig
90%
▲ 1
Arooj Shah
1%
Geraldine Coggins
1%
Marlon Scott West
1%
Richard Kilpatrick
1%
Sian Astley
1%
George Galloway
1%
Person F
45%
Person G
45%
Person H
45%
Person I
45%
Person J
45%
Person K
45%
Person L
45%
Person M
45%
Person N
45%
Person O
45%
Person P
45%
Person Q
45%
Person R
45%
Person S
45%
Person T
45%
Person U
45%
Person V
45%
Person W
45%
Person X
45%
Person Y
45%
Person Z
45%
Person AA
45%
Person AB
45%
Person AC
45%
Person AD
45%
Person AE
45%
Person AF
45%
Person AG
45%
Person AH
45%
Person AI
45%
Person AJ
45%
Person AK
45%
Person AL
45%
Person AM
45%
Person AN
45%
Person AO
45%
Other
45%
Recent trades
40- 0x22e2…aaf6 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 24
- 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x7be5…a53b SELL No $1.29 Jul 14
- 0xc5a7…04f9 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 12
- 0x184b…67b2 SELL No $2.32 Jul 9
- 0x184b…67b2 SELL No $3.17 Jul 9
- 0x184b…67b2 SELL No $0.04 Jul 8
- 0x1f30…f473 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 5
- 0x7dc9…525e SELL Yes $0.56 Jul 3
- 0xd44c…28c5 SELL Yes $0.00 Jul 3
- 0x60cc…f23f SELL No $544.67 Jul 3
- 0xf3a7…46d0 BUY Yes $1.25 Jul 2
- 0x5f3b…ae54 BUY Yes $1.28 Jul 2
- 0x48bb…bd40 BUY Yes $1.12 Jul 2
- 0xb622…9c0d SELL No $1.22 Jul 1
- 0x16da…05c0 SELL Yes $0.16 Jul 1
- 0x36be…6b1e SELL No $23.05 Jul 1
- 0x5703…6091 SELL No $1.11 Jun 30
- 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $0.06 Jun 30
- 0x6752…d610 SELL Yes $0.02 Jun 30
- 0xfd3d…684d SELL Yes $0.45 Jun 29
- 0x173a…d2d1 SELL No $5.99 Jun 29
- 0x173a…d2d1 BUY No $6.00 Jun 29
- 0xd23f…94a1 SELL Yes $1.17 Jun 29
- 0xb1ca…1705 BUY No $238.80 Jun 29
- 0xb1ca…1705 BUY No $1656.00 Jun 29
- 0xb1ca…1705 BUY No $596.00 Jun 29
- 0xb1ca…1705 BUY No $727.79 Jun 29
- 0xb1ca…1705 BUY No $1047.03 Jun 29
- 0xb1ca…1705 BUY No $5966.35 Jun 29
- 0x7761…f504 BUY No $1.19 Jun 29
- 0xc01a…55d1 SELL Yes $1.32 Jun 28
- 0x16da…05c0 SELL Yes $0.11 Jun 26
- 0xb622…9c0d BUY No $1.22 Jun 26
- 0xd23f…94a1 SELL Yes $0.82 Jun 26
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Greater Manchester as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Comments
greens polling at 36%
U can’t go wrong betting on woke psychopaths
I don't think reform are winning this one...
why does it have people who are obviously not going to be candidates under any circumstances but it doesn't have galloway
Green winning 4/5 London council by-elections yesterday. Massive Labour dissatisfaction and Burnham has abandoned the seat for the PM. Gorton and Denton win. Regular bookies giving 10/1 on a Green win. Feels like value to me.
Reform 6 times over the Greens with this electoral system is literal insanity
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". What ?
2027?
supplementary voting, no way reform could ever win. odds seem about right. rallying around Geraldine despite the slim chances!!