Sign Up
← Markets

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Weather Vol. $1,364,044 50 traders

11–1321%
<50%
17–1927%
14–1648%
$1,364,044 Vol. Weather

Outcomes

7
Chance
<5 Resolved
1%
5–7 Resolved
1%
8–10
1%
11–13
17% ▼ 2
14–16
42% ▼ 1
17–19
25% ▲ 1
20+
8%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x1676…42b7 BUY Yes $6.72 8m ago
  • 0x4ffe…9f71 SELL Yes $5.00 9m ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY No $0.56 17m ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $1.34 18m ago
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $5.76 1h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 BUY No $8.40 2h ago
  • 0x2df5…57c8 SELL Yes $4.64 2h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.02 2h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.40 2h ago
  • 0x1676…42b7 SELL Yes $6.71 2h ago
  • 0x1676…42b7 BUY No $25.20 2h ago
  • 0x1676…42b7 SELL No $12.96 2h ago
  • 0x29df…9340 BUY Yes $1.15 2h ago
  • 0x1676…42b7 SELL Yes $1.58 2h ago
  • 0x1676…42b7 SELL Yes $25.28 2h ago
  • 0x94a6…6361 BUY Yes $3.00 4h ago
  • 0x94a6…6361 BUY Yes $3.00 4h ago
  • 0x94a6…6361 BUY Yes $15.00 5h ago
  • 0x9269…2900 BUY Yes $2.10 6h ago
  • 0x195e…a7b6 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
  • 0x21d0…ce91 BUY No $55.50 23h ago
  • 0xdfb9…4fe2 SELL No $0.98 Jul 27
  • 0x8d01…0267 SELL No $0.98 Jul 27
  • 0xfce4…ebc1 SELL No $0.98 Jul 27
  • 0xc371…564b SELL No $0.98 Jul 27
  • 0xe6d3…880f SELL No $0.98 Jul 27
  • 0x8d01…0267 BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xdfb9…4fe2 BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xfce4…ebc1 BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xc371…564b BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xe6d3…880f BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xa753…d808 SELL Yes $0.76 Jul 26
  • 0x7723…802e SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0xb505…b066 SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0x75d3…a63c SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0xc678…5d37 SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0xfa15…0f15 SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0x60b0…4568 SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0x8f6b…acc8 SELL No $0.98 Jul 25
  • 0xf66e…2196 SELL No $0.98 Jul 25

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Comments