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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

Israel Vol. $7,350,652 147 traders

30%
450%
610%
72%
$7,350,652 Vol. Israel

Outcomes

16
Chance
0 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
1 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
2 Resolved
1% ▼ 2
3 Resolved
1% ▼ 34
4
45% ▲ 3
5
29% ▼ 7
6
9% ▲ 2
7
2%
8
1%
9
1%
10
1%
11
1%
12
1%
13
1%
14
1%
15+
1%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x8257…da02 SELL No $7345.65 Jan 2
  • 0xbc9c…8a9b BUY Yes $1.00 Jan 2
  • 0x4947…d6fa BUY No $13.99 Jan 2
  • 0xcdb1…276c BUY No $13.99 Jan 2
  • 0xcdb1…276c BUY No $19.98 Jan 2
  • 0xcdb1…276c BUY No $39.96 Jan 2
  • 0xcdb1…276c BUY No $2811.84 Jan 2
  • 0x66d6…50c7 BUY No $499.50 Jan 2
  • 0x31ff…98b4 BUY No $10.00 Jan 2
  • 0xe316…1766 BUY No $10.00 Jan 2
  • 0x99e2…dbc6 BUY No $2.00 Jan 2
  • 0x3458…110a BUY No $2.00 Jan 2
  • 0xd049…aa90 BUY No $1.50 Jan 2
  • 0xa3cd…1afa BUY No $2.00 Jan 2
  • 0xc3c5…66e8 BUY No $2.00 Jan 2
  • 0x1b41…2a52 BUY No $20.00 Jan 2
  • 0xb9d1…7380 BUY No $5.00 Jan 2
  • 0xfaa8…826b BUY No $1.00 Jan 2
  • 0xf5aa…3730 BUY No $2.06 Jan 2
  • 0xf5ef…0946 BUY No $1.19 Jan 2
  • 0x35e8…710d BUY No $1.19 Jan 2
  • 0x5807…e15b BUY No $1.19 Jan 2
  • 0x58d7…70ff BUY No $1.19 Jan 2
  • 0xceb3…22a0 BUY No $1.19 Jan 2
  • 0x2aba…e004 BUY No $1.19 Jan 2

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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