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How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

Midterms Vol. $14,531 50 traders

50–52 and 208–2225%
50–52 and 193–2075%
≥53 and 208–2225%
50–52 and ≤1925%
$14,531 Vol. Midterms

Outcomes

13
Chance
≥53 and ≥223
2%
≥53 and 208–222
4% ▼ 10
≥53 and ≤207
3%
50–52 and ≥223
4% ▼ 1
50–52 and 208–222
4% ▼ 9
50–52 and 193–207
4% ▼ 16
50–52 and ≤192
5% ▼ 4
47–49 and ≥208
6% ▲ 1
47–49 and 193–207
39% ▲ 38
47–49 and ≤192
12% ▲ 10
≤46 and ≥208
4%
≤46 and 193–207
33% ▲ 34
≤46 and ≤192
5%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $45.05 6h ago
  • 0x0fc1…a3bb SELL Yes $0.56 6h ago
  • 0x77fe…c253 SELL Yes $0.42 8h ago
  • 0xf440…2747 BUY Yes $1.20 8h ago
  • 0x3b69…01d7 SELL No $46.50 8h ago
  • 0xf440…2747 BUY Yes $3.95 8h ago
  • 0xf440…2747 BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0xf440…2747 BUY Yes $0.40 8h ago
  • 0xf440…2747 BUY Yes $1.00 8h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL Yes $0.85 11h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL Yes $0.90 13h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL Yes $4.00 13h ago
  • 0x3b69…01d7 SELL Yes $0.80 15h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 SELL Yes $0.06 15h ago
  • 0xf440…2747 BUY Yes $2.00 18h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL Yes $2.53 20h ago
  • 0x6473…021b SELL Yes $18.26 20h ago
  • 0xe397…bfcb SELL No $237.23 21h ago
  • 0x551e…b0e0 BUY No $121.31 22h ago
  • 0x45a8…5aed BUY No $4.71 23h ago
  • 0x45a8…5aed BUY No $3.22 23h ago
  • 0x551e…b0e0 BUY No $51.90 23h ago
  • 0x551e…b0e0 BUY No $401.54 23h ago
  • 0x551e…b0e0 BUY No $799.16 23h ago
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL Yes $5.84 Jul 27
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL Yes $0.78 Jul 27
  • 0x3d05…acde SELL Yes $2.67 Jul 27
  • 0x6473…021b BUY Yes $12.80 Jul 27
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.80 Jul 27
  • 0x6473…021b BUY Yes $11.04 Jul 27
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $9.03 Jul 27
  • 0x6473…021b SELL Yes $4.85 Jul 27
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $1.31 Jul 27
  • 0x6473…021b BUY Yes $10.20 Jul 27
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $7.34 Jul 27
  • 0x32a9…4f61 SELL No $8.98 Jul 27
  • 0x77fe…c253 SELL Yes $1.70 Jul 27
  • 0x6473…021b SELL Yes $4.42 Jul 27
  • 0x6473…021b SELL Yes $2.72 Jul 27
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL Yes $7.05 Jul 27

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. The number of House seats held by the Republican Party will be determined based upon the results of all US House of Representatives elections for voting members, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. The number of Senate seats held by the Republican party based on both the composition of seats that are not up for election and the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Comments

FCKU Jul 24

whoever is betting R 47 or below seats is gotta be hopium betting and not being realistic, there's legit no chance a democrat is winning some of the states that are considered "tossups" in the "polling" right now (OH, TX, IA)