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How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?

Oil Vol. $12,846 50 traders

<2512%
100+7%
75-996%
50-7439%
$12,846 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

5
Chance
<25
5% ▼ 6
25-49
35% ▲ 2
50-74
35% ▲ 7
75-99
5% ▼ 2
100+
7% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x80ce…3809 BUY No $28.50 2h ago
  • 0x25c8…dfde BUY No $68.18 2h ago
  • 0x3cc7…3976 BUY No $94.25 2h ago
  • 0x69d2…8c2f BUY No $18.00 2h ago
  • 0x69d2…8c2f BUY No $115.30 2h ago
  • 0xf2f2…d1f0 SELL Yes $0.65 3h ago
  • 0x5e50…c665 BUY No $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x7d58…cfcc BUY No $120.00 3h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 SELL No $5.80 3h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 BUY Yes $1.32 3h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $17.80 4h ago
  • 0xe450…91b9 BUY Yes $1.30 4h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $5.80 5h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $13.40 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $6.30 5h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $6.00 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.59 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $9.39 5h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $43.50 5h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $6.30 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $6.00 5h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $9.58 5h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.39 5h ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $45.80 5h ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $14.09 5h ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $45.53 5h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $24.80 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.52 5h ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $24.00 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $3.41 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.42 5h ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $13.58 5h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $38.16 5h ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $5.32 5h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $37.48 5h ago
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $43.59 5h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $16.65 5h ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $72.59 5h ago
  • 0x8797…bbbe BUY Yes $18.93 5h ago
  • 0xd23f…94a1 BUY No $12.99 5h ago

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from July 27, 2026, through August 2, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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