← Markets
Chance
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed72%
Haley Stevens30%
Kristen McDonald Rivet0%
Matt Sahr0%
Loading chart…
Outcomes
20Mallory McMorrow
1%
Haley Stevens
27%
▼ 6
Abdul El-Sayed
65%
▲ 7
Dana Nessel
1%
Rashida Tlaib
1%
Sarah Anthony
1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
1%
Andy Levin
1%
Matt Sahr
1%
Person A
1%
Person B
1%
Person C
1%
Person D
1%
Person E
1%
Person F
1%
Person G
1%
Person H
1%
Person I
1%
Person J
1%
Other
1%
Recent trades
40- 0x75dc…698e BUY No $23.05 2m ago
- 0x1790…315b SELL No $0.14 16m ago
- 0xdcc3…d8e9 BUY No $3.00 1h ago
- 0x5c63…ed39 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
- 0xc540…f00d SELL Yes $16.85 2h ago
- 0xc540…f00d SELL Yes $3.71 3h ago
- 0x650b…ebc3 BUY Yes $24.48 3h ago
- 0x650b…ebc3 BUY Yes $24.48 3h ago
- 0xe086…0450 BUY Yes $5.04 3h ago
- 0x5d98…c601 BUY Yes $5.04 3h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $1.38 3h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $22.01 3h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $9.38 3h ago
- 0xc3cd…816c SELL No $13.65 3h ago
- 0xc540…f00d SELL Yes $17.93 3h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $5.91 4h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $3.46 4h ago
- 0x7879…822a BUY Yes $60.00 4h ago
- 0x0354…9093 BUY Yes $1.52 4h ago
- 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $27.61 4h ago
- 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $3.00 4h ago
- 0xc2e5…b3a5 BUY Yes $369.25 4h ago
- 0x7e59…7b8b BUY Yes $609.60 4h ago
- 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $3.00 4h ago
- 0xc624…ee24 BUY Yes $40.00 4h ago
- 0xd6f6…1eac SELL Yes $3.55 4h ago
- 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL No $27.80 5h ago
- 0xe624…e63b SELL No $139.74 5h ago
- 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $11.64 5h ago
- 0xa9b7…f43c SELL Yes $2.44 5h ago
- 0x11f8…ed31 BUY No $7.25 5h ago
- 0x1790…315b SELL No $0.84 5h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $10.50 5h ago
- 0x0380…073d BUY No $18.93 5h ago
- 0x0380…073d BUY No $41.96 5h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $12.61 5h ago
- 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $27.92 5h ago
- 0x0313…67db BUY Yes $154.74 5h ago
- 0xb477…673e SELL Yes $101.55 5h ago
- 0x090a…0fa6 BUY No $3.54 6h ago
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Comments
El-Sayed overestimated 100%
If AES win, it will be a Lean R race LOL
lean D race*
Progressives are not electable in swing states.
yes they are
Bernie won the Democratic Primary over Hillary in 2016.
Time will tell. As Hong rises, Tom Tiffany's chance of winning the general election increases sharply. Republicans can beat far-left Democratic candidates easily in swing districts.
How many times has a progressive been the statewide nominee? They are only finally getting the opportunity. If you’re basing it off vibes, you will be surprised when you see just how effective populism is.
Stevens +7 in the most recent poll, but pretty much every other poll shows El Sayed in the lead.
DSA brain: gambling your small paycheck on an opposition candidate who's already priced at 80%, losing, and then crying for free money.
El Sayed is being overestimated.
Why so much movement today?
yeah very weird
prob
very little volume, curious