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Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Iran Vol. $7,444,696 148 traders

July 30%
July 100%
July 314%
July 170%
$7,444,696 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

8
Chance
June 26 Resolved
1%
July 3 Resolved
1%
July 10 Resolved
1%
July 31
3% ▼ 3
July 17 Resolved
1%
August 31
49% ▲ 9
August 15
34% ▲ 3
August 7
24%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x703a…cf39 SELL Yes $36.14 13m ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $10.60 1h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $8.28 1h ago
  • 0x8d47…e0f0 BUY No $2.35 1h ago
  • 0xf47c…562e BUY No $2.35 2h ago
  • 0x032a…cf07 BUY Yes $2.00 2h ago
  • 0xdc39…1b6d BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
  • 0xb9e6…ff81 BUY No $2.35 2h ago
  • 0x82cf…088d SELL No $42.48 2h ago
  • 0x53a0…eb70 BUY No $27.60 2h ago
  • 0x6a58…43d8 BUY No $30.57 2h ago
  • 0x1a48…1ad6 BUY No $25.47 2h ago
  • 0xcaee…7020 BUY No $9.61 2h ago
  • 0xa8f3…b773 BUY No $20.07 2h ago
  • 0x2af9…a944 BUY Yes $4.56 2h ago
  • 0xf86f…256f SELL No $576.83 2h ago
  • 0x736d…926c BUY Yes $3.08 3h ago
  • 0xb247…2950 BUY No $13.23 3h ago
  • 0x4cd8…6762 BUY No $15.09 3h ago
  • 0x4b95…7c90 BUY No $17.58 3h ago
  • 0x368b…87a1 BUY No $17.65 3h ago
  • 0x91db…89a0 BUY No $14.89 3h ago
  • 0xfe32…6184 BUY Yes $2.70 3h ago
  • 0x0abe…591f BUY No $1.45 3h ago
  • 0x22a8…e6f5 BUY Yes $1.65 3h ago
  • 0x4d9a…1309 BUY No $2.35 3h ago
  • 0x5297…7b99 BUY Yes $10.14 3h ago
  • 0xa4c3…1d3f BUY No $16.44 3h ago
  • 0xeea0…887c BUY No $17.77 3h ago
  • 0xeaca…49e4 BUY No $20.01 3h ago
  • 0x5cf7…cd6d BUY Yes $4.25 3h ago
  • 0x81fe…80b0 BUY No $24.34 3h ago
  • 0x18a1…3f94 BUY No $29.48 3h ago
  • 0x9517…f0b3 BUY No $150.00 3h ago
  • 0x4ec7…15aa BUY Yes $2.70 4h ago
  • 0x7eae…07ad BUY Yes $1.65 4h ago
  • 0x5dc0…1cc5 BUY No $2.35 4h ago
  • 0x5b1d…8895 SELL Yes $1.19 4h ago
  • 0x2733…fc41 SELL No $11.09 4h ago
  • 0xb2a3…79e0 SELL Yes $18.02 5h ago

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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