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Russia nuclear test by...?

Politics Vol. $6,144,783 122 traders

June 30, 20260%
March 31, 20260%
September 30, 20263%
November 300%
$6,144,783 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

6
Chance
November 30 Resolved
1%
December 31 Resolved
1%
March 31, 2026 Resolved
1%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
1%
September 30, 2026
3%
December 31, 2026
9%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $20.34 14h ago
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL No $20.36 14h ago
  • 0xf9ce…2e6b BUY Yes $1.00 14h ago
  • 0x2106…fa73 BUY Yes $10.00 14h ago
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $909.77 23h ago
  • 0xdf27…e6e4 BUY No $13.62 Jul 27
  • 0xc440…2e0e SELL No $49.69 Jul 26
  • 0x0da8…54af SELL No $37.99 Jul 26
  • 0xc440…2e0e BUY No $50.00 Jul 25
  • 0x0c70…14a8 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
  • 0xa3e2…fdf8 SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 25
  • 0x0547…fb35 BUY No $68.99 Jul 24
  • 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $2.37 Jul 24
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $37.39 Jul 24
  • 0x194c…1315 BUY Yes $25.82 Jul 24
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $204.40 Jul 24
  • 0x805b…ae7d BUY Yes $20.87 Jul 24
  • 0xaa35…214a SELL No $1.82 Jul 24
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $193.31 Jul 24
  • 0x8a00…e2c4 SELL No $403.40 Jul 24
  • 0xcf00…353f BUY Yes $20.38 Jul 24
  • 0x805b…ae7d SELL Yes $0.72 Jul 24
  • 0xaa35…214a SELL No $426.41 Jul 24
  • 0x8a07…f329 SELL No $414.45 Jul 24
  • 0x46a5…bd6b BUY No $15.00 Jul 23
  • 0x5533…51ba BUY Yes $2.44 Jul 23
  • 0xe489…f577 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 23
  • 0x725b…ee35 SELL Yes $56.52 Jul 23
  • 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $1.73 Jul 23
  • 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $54.99 Jul 23
  • 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $34.85 Jul 23
  • 0x0da8…54af BUY No $20.02 Jul 23
  • 0x725b…ee35 SELL Yes $38.48 Jul 23
  • 0xe5b1…5e80 SELL Yes $45.72 Jul 23
  • 0xe5b1…5e80 SELL Yes $46.74 Jul 23
  • 0x6573…7571 SELL Yes $42.18 Jul 23
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $969.19 Jul 23
  • 0x0907…9c94 SELL Yes $6.56 Jul 22
  • 0x836f…906e BUY No $96.40 Jul 22
  • 0xe489…f577 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 19

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

Danya.Savin Jul 25

На удачу🏴

huyu Feb 10

response to perceived U.S.

adonpoli Nov 11

i am just selling my nov 30 if

adonpoli Nov 11

any yes holder want to sell his worthless share

0xcoincocck Nov 7

OFC they will! The most incredible thing about Russian nuclear missiles is that there’s dude inside, steering it toward the target with pedals and a steering wheel

huyu Feb 10

good

Sheriden Nov 6

Russia's Defense Minister has emphasized the need to prepare for full-scale nuclear tests in response to perceived U.S.

PoppyDove Nov 6

Russia's covert nuclear test in the Arctic by early 2026 is rattling NATO's deterrence strategies as satellite anomalies spark urgent verification protocols.