Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent trades
25- 0xe907…cff6 SELL Yes $0.84 20m ago
- 0xfd1c…4c80 SELL Yes $0.23 33m ago
- 0x648d…716c SELL No $9.96 59m ago
- 0x648d…716c BUY No $9.97 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.40 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.86 1h ago
- 0xdef4…d21f BUY No $618.34 1h ago
- 0x4d15…ee8c BUY No $627.32 1h ago
- 0x53a3…8670 BUY No $624.72 1h ago
- 0xd45c…b13f BUY No $43.84 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.86 1h ago
- 0x6efe…59bf BUY No $56.21 1h ago
- 0x7b1d…f96d BUY No $9.97 1h ago
- 0xcfa2…9756 SELL No $4.98 1h ago
- 0xa289…d95c BUY No $2991.00 1h ago
- 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $1.40 1h ago
- 0x2328…38ca SELL No $9.81 1h ago
- 0x36cb…ef34 SELL No $5.98 2h ago
- 0x5e83…3bb7 BUY Yes $1.99 2h ago
- 0xbb3d…b0e6 SELL No $232.28 2h ago
- 0xcfa2…9756 BUY No $4.99 2h ago
- 0x36cb…ef34 BUY No $5.98 2h ago
- 0x2328…38ca BUY No $9.82 2h ago
- 0x2b5f…2ede SELL No $100.61 2h ago
- 0xccce…f874 SELL No $193.56 2h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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