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US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Economy Vol. $20,885 50 traders

≥3.5%2%
1.5–2.0%41%
<1.0%5%
2.0–2.5%31%
$20,885 Vol. Economy

Outcomes

7
Chance
<1.0%
5% ▲ 1
1.0–1.5%
9% ▼ 2
1.5–2.0%
37% ▲ 4
2.0–2.5%
29% ▲ 4
2.5–3.0%
18% ▲ 1
3.0–3.5%
5%
≥3.5%
2% ▼ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $6.02 2h ago
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $19.19 4h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $14.31 9h ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $9.54 9h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $3.05 9h ago
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $9.15 9h ago
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $6.10 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $10.65 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $7.10 9h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $12.45 9h ago
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $8.30 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $9.98 9h ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $14.89 9h ago
  • 0x30f6…004f BUY Yes $1.50 9h ago
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $6.20 9h ago
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $7.20 9h ago
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $7.10 9h ago
  • 0x1a93…24e0 BUY No $8.30 9h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $20.65 12h ago
  • 0xd6df…d71d SELL Yes $22.24 14h ago
  • 0x1785…a867 BUY Yes $28.77 14h ago
  • 0x1785…a867 BUY Yes $42.47 14h ago
  • 0x1785…a867 BUY Yes $53.43 14h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 SELL No $3.42 15h ago
  • 0xadb5…e421 BUY No $3.30 15h ago
  • 0x70fc…88c1 BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x70fc…88c1 BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x8728…0882 BUY Yes $5.92 18h ago
  • 0xd6df…d71d SELL Yes $3.01 19h ago
  • 0x6b48…9c41 BUY No $21.41 20h ago
  • 0x4060…c1c4 SELL Yes $36.00 22h ago
  • 0xe798…5365 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0xa382…44de BUY No $32.01 Jul 27
  • 0x4ffe…9f71 SELL Yes $4.12 Jul 26
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL No $0.68 Jul 26
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $0.73 Jul 26
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $14.28 Jul 26
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $44.55 Jul 26
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $9.52 Jul 26
  • 0xe6ca…f596 SELL Yes $0.96 Jul 26

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution. If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.

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