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US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

Oil Vol. $90,723 50 traders

July 316%
August 3145%
$90,723 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

2
Chance
July 31
5% ▼ 7
August 31
40% ▼ 8

Recent trades

40
  • 0xc1d1…f1ba BUY No $19.20 2h ago
  • 0xc07a…5406 BUY Yes $1.00 2h ago
  • 0x7cbd…1288 BUY No $9.52 3h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $36.52 3h ago
  • 0x7cbd…1288 BUY No $100.65 3h ago
  • 0xc805…3ede BUY Yes $2.00 5h ago
  • 0xb9cd…70d3 SELL No $5.70 5h ago
  • 0x72a1…c5e4 BUY No $2.00 7h ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 BUY No $10.78 7h ago
  • 0x96b2…1bff BUY No $3659.00 7h ago
  • 0x79eb…f471 SELL No $21.48 10h ago
  • 0x1a8f…2cd1 BUY No $4.20 11h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.00 17h ago
  • 0xf114…8003 BUY Yes $2.30 17h ago
  • 0xa6b7…d5f3 BUY Yes $452.25 17h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $115.94 18h ago
  • 0x3b30…100f BUY No $23.02 18h ago
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $85.68 19h ago
  • 0xea30…f2a9 BUY No $263.67 19h ago
  • 0x57b0…76f4 BUY No $728.00 20h ago
  • 0xded2…4a85 BUY No $3.36 20h ago
  • 0xd19c…e07e BUY No $1.68 20h ago
  • 0x4d5a…02ea SELL No $15.39 20h ago
  • 0xe8fc…0d3b SELL No $38.50 20h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $27.09 22h ago
  • 0xc961…db04 BUY No $847.13 22h ago
  • 0xc243…5e94 SELL No $0.29 22h ago
  • 0x0a26…1851 BUY No $65.89 22h ago
  • 0xd426…334a BUY No $7.35 22h ago
  • 0xa3f6…1326 BUY No $90.00 Jul 27
  • 0xfbda…fdbb BUY No $39.00 Jul 27
  • 0x2811…6818 BUY No $25.00 Jul 27
  • 0xb625…415b BUY No $4.50 Jul 27
  • 0xca6b…282f BUY No $10.00 Jul 27
  • 0x01fb…2d69 BUY No $4.68 Jul 27
  • 0xb9cd…70d3 BUY No $5.28 Jul 27
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $36.40 Jul 26
  • 0xf159…4e09 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 26
  • 0xf159…4e09 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 26
  • 0x1299…6277 BUY Yes $20.70 Jul 26

On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part. Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify. Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify. Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.

Comments

arsenelupin Jul 15

IRAN'S TOP NEGOTIATOR QALIBAF: WE MUST ALSO USE THE TOOLS OF DIPLOMACY AND NEGOTIATION TO REALIZE AND SECURE NATIONAL INTERESTS

Moly-Parket365 Jul 9

Isn't there permanent peace?