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USMCA extended in 2026?

Trump Vol. $4,429 50 traders

Yes33%
No67%
$4,429 Vol. Trump
USMCA extended in 2026?
27%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xd026…d74b SELL No $53.67 5h ago
  • 0x08a6…f3cc BUY No $3.00 6h ago
  • 0x08a6…f3cc BUY No $1.00 Jul 27
  • 0x00cd…c0ae SELL No $3.25 Jul 24
  • 0x60a8…7d37 SELL No $38.16 Jul 24
  • 0x60a8…7d37 SELL No $9.90 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.42 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 24
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $9.90 Jul 24
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $3.30 Jul 24
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $3.79 Jul 24
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $3.99 Jul 24
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $200.00 Jul 24
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.48 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $3.82 Jul 24
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $2.32 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $3.15 Jul 24
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $0.19 Jul 24
  • 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 24
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $38.21 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $3.50 Jul 24
  • 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $1.15 Jul 24
  • 0xd7af…f22e SELL No $3.12 Jul 24
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $45.00 Jul 24
  • 0xd026…d74b BUY No $13.26 Jul 23

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement. The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement. The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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