Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
Outcomes
8Recent trades
40- 0x5428…ee81 SELL No $224.78 1h ago
- 0x5428…ee81 SELL No $674.32 1h ago
- 0x5428…ee81 BUY No $900.00 1h ago
- 0xedf1…879a SELL No $37.63 1h ago
- 0xedf1…879a SELL No $678.64 1h ago
- 0xedf1…879a BUY No $292.00 1h ago
- 0xedf1…879a BUY No $425.00 1h ago
- 0xf63a…5d80 BUY No $1771.59 2h ago
- 0x9d73…216b SELL Yes $2.20 3h ago
- 0xf37e…c53b BUY No $2.00 3h ago
- 0xf37e…c53b SELL No $2.11 3h ago
- 0x2b09…3277 BUY No $59.16 6h ago
- 0x56e7…7c0b BUY No $666.84 6h ago
- 0x56e7…7c0b BUY No $295.03 6h ago
- 0x56e7…7c0b BUY No $146.88 6h ago
- 0x3f38…c559 SELL No $739.26 7h ago
- 0x3f38…c559 BUY No $275.00 7h ago
- 0x3f38…c559 BUY No $465.00 7h ago
- 0x3908…d10e SELL No $1.23 7h ago
- 0xc04a…e3ae BUY No $5.00 8h ago
- 0x126e…c360 SELL Yes $0.06 10h ago
- 0x0333…7d70 BUY No $2.00 13h ago
- 0xe907…faf0 BUY No $46.78 13h ago
- 0xb87f…f7d4 BUY Yes $1.01 13h ago
- 0x56e7…7c0b BUY No $1729.24 13h ago
- 0xea40…86b9 BUY No $4.95 14h ago
- 0xca08…1267 SELL No $5.58 14h ago
- 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.19 14h ago
- 0x6992…6c1d SELL Yes $40.83 14h ago
- 0x510f…a43c SELL No $9.29 15h ago
- 0x6992…6c1d SELL Yes $48.90 15h ago
- 0xb87f…f7d4 BUY Yes $1.01 15h ago
- 0x6992…6c1d SELL Yes $38.35 15h ago
- 0x4b9b…7a9f SELL Yes $0.28 17h ago
- 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $182.62 17h ago
- 0x290d…dc40 SELL Yes $0.90 18h ago
- 0x34dc…d280 BUY No $100.00 18h ago
- 0x929a…5ab4 SELL Yes $0.09 20h ago
- 0xb87f…f7d4 BUY Yes $1.01 20h ago
- 0x7a26…9b20 SELL Yes $5.92 20h ago
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify. Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice. Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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