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Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Big Tech Vol. $97,655 50 traders

155095%
157581%
160023%
1525100%
$97,655 Vol. Big Tech

Outcomes

4
Chance
1525 Resolved
90% ▲ 4
1550
87% ▲ 11
1575
70% ▲ 21
1600
23% ▲ 3

Recent trades

40
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $0.00 19m ago
  • 0xafbe…072e SELL Yes $15.30 19m ago
  • 0x3af9…b4bb SELL Yes $15.60 19m ago
  • 0x714f…66d5 BUY No $137.76 20m ago
  • 0x7803…9e91 SELL No $3.60 2h ago
  • 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $43.99 3h ago
  • 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $24.57 3h ago
  • 0x1d08…3f18 SELL Yes $222.05 4h ago
  • 0xf281…1a5a SELL Yes $9.48 5h ago
  • 0x3901…9761 SELL No $7.20 5h ago
  • 0x7803…9e91 SELL No $25.52 5h ago
  • 0xa0f5…9cfe BUY Yes $21.00 7h ago
  • 0x1b6d…3ec5 BUY Yes $21.00 7h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $47.20 8h ago
  • 0xd416…d9e2 SELL No $5.72 9h ago
  • 0x2574…144b BUY Yes $50.00 10h ago
  • 0xffb3…9ae4 BUY Yes $5.00 11h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $8.49 13h ago
  • 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $40.00 14h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $4.93 14h ago
  • 0x07d1…8ffa BUY Yes $3.68 14h ago
  • 0x07d1…8ffa SELL Yes $9.90 14h ago
  • 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $965.10 14h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.00 14h ago
  • 0xb1fe…423a SELL No $14.07 14h ago
  • 0x28b2…eb4f BUY Yes $289.55 15h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $8.00 15h ago
  • 0xd38f…bf78 SELL No $1.60 16h ago
  • 0x97f3…0eba BUY Yes $850.00 16h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $2.30 18h ago
  • 0x3c18…32c3 SELL Yes $28.50 Jul 27
  • 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $92.40 Jul 27
  • 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $150.00 Jul 27
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY Yes $2.95 Jul 27
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $3.25 Jul 27
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $130.63 Jul 27
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $3.50 Jul 27
  • 0xae7a…25ea SELL No $3.08 Jul 27
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $2.90 Jul 27
  • 0x9c3f…bc25 SELL No $3.31 Jul 26

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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