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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Tech Vol. $139,660 50 traders

1510100%
152031%
153011%
15506%
$139,660 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

5
Chance
1510 Resolved
90% ▲ 45
1520
28% ▲ 14
1530
10%
1540
8%
1550
5% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL Yes $15.92 9h ago
  • 0x4c4e…297b BUY No $265.00 9h ago
  • 0xae91…0f69 BUY No $11.00 11h ago
  • 0x6b8a…f6a4 SELL No $63.62 12h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $32.50 12h ago
  • 0xaa81…aaf7 SELL No $10.26 12h ago
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL No $8.00 12h ago
  • 0xa5e1…fff8 SELL Yes $20.28 13h ago
  • 0x173a…eb85 SELL No $64.12 14h ago
  • 0x42c7…c415 BUY Yes $14.62 14h ago
  • 0x42c7…c415 BUY No $1.87 14h ago
  • 0x84d4…77a9 BUY Yes $114.03 14h ago
  • 0x84d4…77a9 BUY No $9.31 14h ago
  • 0xb625…415b SELL No $81.66 14h ago
  • 0xb89f…1c44 BUY Yes $220.96 14h ago
  • 0xdf0e…c02b BUY Yes $33.09 14h ago
  • 0x4037…fa24 SELL Yes $23.98 14h ago
  • 0x9aeb…2729 SELL Yes $1028.73 15h ago
  • 0x9aeb…2729 BUY Yes $1603.00 15h ago
  • 0xd004…6a78 BUY No $11.50 15h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $0.21 15h ago
  • 0x0cb5…7fe7 BUY Yes $28.70 15h ago
  • 0x73ec…f5bb BUY Yes $5963.36 15h ago
  • 0x3373…3716 BUY Yes $13.86 15h ago
  • 0x4b72…38d5 BUY Yes $200.00 15h ago
  • 0x9592…a7b8 BUY Yes $20.00 15h ago
  • 0xeaa9…1737 SELL Yes $19.88 18h ago
  • 0xf333…ba41 SELL Yes $33.75 18h ago
  • 0xca75…0a64 SELL No $84.82 23h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.12 23h ago
  • 0x07d1…8ffa SELL Yes $1.35 23h ago
  • 0x07d1…8ffa SELL Yes $1.44 23h ago
  • 0x4c4e…297b BUY Yes $205.56 Jul 27
  • 0xeaa9…1737 SELL Yes $40.50 Jul 27
  • 0x508d…791a SELL Yes $27.25 Jul 27
  • 0xf333…ba41 SELL Yes $70.25 Jul 27
  • 0xe976…71e8 SELL No $0.96 Jul 27
  • 0xbdcd…0fe6 SELL No $22.00 Jul 27
  • 0x7761…f504 BUY Yes $2.70 Jul 27
  • 0xd411…01bc SELL Yes $45.01 Jul 27

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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