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Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

France Vol. $14,075 50 traders

December 315%
July 312%
March 316%
$14,075 Vol. France

Outcomes

3
Chance
July 31
1%
December 31
4%
March 31
5% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8de6…2938 BUY No $49.90 Jul 27
  • 0x8de6…2938 BUY No $6.93 Jul 27
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $2.50 Jul 26
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $2.27 Jul 26
  • 0x30a0…a458 SELL Yes $13.77 Jul 26
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $165.43 Jul 26
  • 0xd4b8…7bf1 SELL No $20.55 Jul 26
  • 0x66a1…80d9 BUY Yes $4.97 Jul 25
  • 0xc08b…e35b BUY Yes $1.35 Jul 24
  • 0xc08b…e35b BUY No $27.30 Jul 24
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL Yes $3.16 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.09 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 24
  • 0x763b…1fc1 SELL Yes $0.09 Jul 24
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 24
  • 0x763b…1fc1 SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 24
  • 0x763b…1fc1 SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 24
  • 0xcd3e…ae81 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 24
  • 0x763b…1fc1 BUY Yes $0.49 Jul 24
  • 0x279d…9266 SELL Yes $0.12 Jul 23
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $11.30 Jul 21
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $25.79 Jul 21
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $1.63 Jul 21
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.04 Jul 21
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.02 Jul 21
  • 0x43fd…59d3 SELL Yes $0.70 Jul 21
  • 0x63e0…4ca5 SELL Yes $2.80 Jul 21
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.77 Jul 21
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $1.51 Jul 21
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.04 Jul 21
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.02 Jul 21
  • 0xb924…0803 SELL Yes $0.64 Jul 21
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.77 Jul 21
  • 0x9cdd…df3e SELL No $0.74 Jul 21
  • 0xd2f2…2f05 SELL No $0.01 Jul 21
  • 0x3222…4c75 SELL No $0.02 Jul 21
  • 0xf800…05af SELL Yes $0.32 Jul 21
  • 0x279d…9266 BUY Yes $1.01 Jul 20
  • 0x2e4a…ac2e BUY No $12.11 Jul 20
  • 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL No $4.81 Jul 20

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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