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Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Politics Vol. $8,481,548 169 traders

December 31, 202691%
December 310%
March 31, 20260%
August 310%
$8,481,548 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

16
Chance
May 31, 2026 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
September 30, 2026
70% ▲ 1
August 31 Resolved
1%
December 31 Resolved
1%
October 31 Resolved
1%
July 31, 2026
10% ▼ 1
September 30 Resolved
1%
August 31, 2026
53% ▲ 5
July 19, 2026 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
November 30 Resolved
1%
March 31, 2026 Resolved
1% ▲ 3
December 31, 2026
82% ▼ 2
January 31, 2026 Resolved
1%
February 28, 2026 Resolved
1%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
1% ▼ 5
April 30, 2026 Resolved
1% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x0413…fc99 SELL No $3.45 2h ago
  • 0x9f79…5487 SELL No $99.88 2h ago
  • 0x091f…9dff SELL No $114.03 2h ago
  • 0x07b9…0fbb BUY No $154.99 3h ago
  • 0x66be…1148 BUY No $9.27 3h ago
  • 0xb518…256c BUY Yes $2.00 3h ago
  • 0x30df…beef SELL No $0.93 3h ago
  • 0x467d…b913 BUY Yes $30.00 4h ago
  • 0xd2de…099b BUY No $5.00 4h ago
  • 0x3e56…35d5 BUY Yes $1.00 5h ago
  • 0x3e56…35d5 SELL Yes $0.69 5h ago
  • 0xe132…532c SELL Yes $4.63 5h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 SELL No $1.12 5h ago
  • 0x7803…9e91 SELL Yes $0.33 5h ago
  • 0xe443…c065 BUY No $114.30 6h ago
  • 0xe443…c065 BUY No $22.48 6h ago
  • 0x15b5…072e BUY Yes $5.00 6h ago
  • 0x46fe…f970 BUY No $10.00 6h ago
  • 0x01bb…2c9c SELL No $1.49 10h ago
  • 0xe3e5…dd13 BUY No $45.00 10h ago
  • 0x5bb6…9d57 BUY No $59.51 10h ago
  • 0x5bb6…9d57 BUY No $28.54 10h ago
  • 0x9901…6046 SELL No $35.24 11h ago
  • 0xef54…c997 BUY Yes $125.51 11h ago
  • 0x13c2…a619 SELL No $1.00 11h ago
  • 0x2799…b1e1 SELL Yes $0.66 11h ago
  • 0xd1cf…de94 SELL No $6.76 12h ago
  • 0x2d6c…e3f5 SELL Yes $2.98 12h ago
  • 0x7092…7b4e BUY No $113.00 12h ago
  • 0x180a…8c61 BUY No $22.18 12h ago
  • 0xbc8d…f143 BUY Yes $1.90 12h ago
  • 0x5bb6…9d57 BUY No $75.39 12h ago
  • 0x5bb6…9d57 BUY No $133.35 13h ago
  • 0xe99b…2f86 SELL No $8.42 16h ago
  • 0xd849…59d6 BUY Yes $67.96 19h ago
  • 0x2e00…748b BUY Yes $5.00 20h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.22 21h ago
  • 0x7db8…ed19 SELL No $12.00 21h ago
  • 0xceca…3f67 BUY Yes $76.00 21h ago
  • 0x43fd…59d3 SELL No $12.00 Jul 27

This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.

Comments

pink.impala 10h ago

They giving a way our money to shitty project ukraine, they stealing our money and send clown what a failure it is project ukraine

pink.impala 10h ago

Why should i have to pay for these corrupt scum, unraine truly a failure

SadMax1 16h ago

@znotluvuisamez is also out

0xa0bDa37A1A4278c54cb0e190711d45d1Fb2527A1-1780151718805 22h ago

A day has already passed, and there's still no solution. Or am I missing something?

ProxyOne 21h ago

“Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

Kixn 15h ago

hopefully shaded red in the next day or two

tsybka Jul 26

lionloserlionloserlionloser is about to lose

tsybka Jul 26

game over

Kixn Jul 26

well the train station got painted striped red today, finally a move by ISW to acknowledge the station is gone, could we see red in tomorrow's update?

Danya.Savin Jul 25

Должно быть легко🏴

Kixn Jul 23

what a joke, ISW is so quick to paint splotches of blue around but ignore the reality and resist painting any red at all no matter how obvious it is

AuthenticDemigod Jul 22

Pretty safe money, from my perspective..

SadMax1 Jul 20

Too rich for my blood 🖖

SadMax1 Jul 20

Too rich for

rafael7 Jul 20

Loser sold

SadMax1 Jul 20

Yupp

SadMax1 Jul 20

I'll advice against copy-trading me btw. I just wanted to enjoy the summer without worrying about a Ukrainian counter-attack. I guess I'm made to be a peasant, not a soldier.

Vv7777777 Jul 26

Рафаель ты ли это?)

rafael7 19h ago

Чиа будет 1000$

abdoohl Jul 15

The Defense Forces have made significant advances in one of the areas. It was not easy. This was achieved thanks to the skill of the soldiers and the clear planning of the commanders. As I mentioned before, but I will repeat, in some parts of the operation, there were zero casualties. In others, there were losses of 1 to 8 enemy soldiers. I will still wait for an official statement. But believe me, you will be amazed, just like I am right now 😎

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481 Jul 16

Thanks for inside info!

abdoohl Jul 16

np man i found it on internet

abdoohl Jul 16

not even sure its about Kostantinovka TBH

XIXI7IXIX Jul 16

😂😂😂

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481 Jul 17

Not funny, I'm minus 3.17% in a single day

ragutwo Jul 17

Hes a Russian troll

0x720Aaf4b99854c5D5a0e618eE733D395cbAdaa3f-1783197974481 Jul 18

but I think I'm winning?

ragutwo Jul 18

yup, good job

pink.impala Jul 15

The land of Ukronazis and Ukrowhores are STEALING MY MONEY

pink.impala Jul 15

Project Ukraine such a failure, why should i have to pay for these corrupt scum

pink.impala Jul 15

WATCH: In Lvov, a TCC employee attempted to carefully and discreetly strangle a woman who tried to prevent a man from being mobilized.

The-Last-Degen Jul 14

tsybka farmed his followers again check his transactions

SadMax1 Jul 19

nuh, all legit

abdoohl Jul 14

There are hints pointing to the fact that it will soon be possible to gradually reveal recent Ukrainian successes in Kostantinovka. Unfortunately the bulk of the work is still ongoing on the part of the Ukrainians, but some things will likely be shown soon

abdoohl Jul 14

Is they gonna paint their map today guys what do you think?

tsybka Jul 14

While the idiots keep trying to take shots at me, my pnl just keeps growing exponentially🤣 So keep talking about me - it only boosts my reach and brings in more followers🥳

The-Last-Degen Jul 14

Boosts your follower count so you can farm them some more

tsybka Jul 14

You forgot to switch back from your alt account.

LiquidatedDegen Jul 13

Can you imagine listening to TSYBKA's calls when he bet 1500 on Connor McGregor??? 🤣🤣🤣

CoachesDontPlay Jul 14

u bet on him too lol

SadMax1 Jul 14

I only have good experience from not listening to Tsybka. I totally took his money in the Hryshyne market. My advice is follow your heart, don't get distracted by his PNL.

tsybka Jul 14

Lol, you're so dumb you completely missed the point. In the long run, you'll end up losing money.

SadMax1 Jul 15

Kinda trolled you there. I hold your views in highest esteem, although, of course, I don't always find it agreeable to copy-cat you. Cheers

abdoohl Jul 13

Kostyantynivka, nothing particularly new lately. The Russians continue attempts to consolidate and, especially, infiltrate; the Ukrainians continue to defend and work with different fire methods. And for the thousandth time, no, the Russians haven't occupied the city at all.

VatnikPride Jul 13

Not a cope comment at all.

Kixn Jul 13

the Ukrainian blue is gone from the train station, they might as well paint it red tomorrow

abdoohl Jul 13

you might as well buy yes then

Kixn Jul 13

I would but I lost all my money on the bitcoin market

XIXI7IXIX Jul 13

😂😂😂

SadMax1 Jul 13

I heard that market is tough. You are up against institutional players, basically

abdoohl Jul 12

WTF why its going up??

rafael7 Jul 12

You’ll find out soon enough.

abdoohl Jul 12

cant wait to see your profile on TrackAColombianMerc

SubashChandraBose Jul 12

@temarussian came after all this time just to burn 5k

ForSale Jul 12

no human areas

tsybka Jul 12

fortress is falling... not good news.

anotherpatrick Jul 12

not so easy

pink.impala Jul 11

Fuck Ukraine with a sick dick!

VatnikPride Jul 11

War dies when hatred does.

SadMax1 Jul 12

And greed…