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Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

Geopolitics Vol. $822,186 50 traders

March 31, 20276%
September 300%
December 310%
$822,186 Vol. Geopolitics

Outcomes

3
Chance
September 30 Resolved
1%
December 31 Resolved
1%
March 31, 2027
6%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.02 3h ago
  • 0xdee6…c5c5 SELL No $186.00 3h ago
  • 0x7727…15a4 SELL Yes $1.92 4h ago
  • 0x7727…15a4 SELL Yes $3.00 5h ago
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY Yes $9.49 Jul 26
  • 0x5b8d…a1ae SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 26
  • 0x43fd…59d3 SELL Yes $2.82 Jul 25
  • 0x43fd…59d3 SELL Yes $0.24 Jul 25
  • 0xa3e2…fdf8 SELL Yes $2.94 Jul 25
  • 0xb924…0803 SELL Yes $3.06 Jul 25
  • 0xa86f…022c SELL Yes $2.55 Jul 25
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $1.36 Jul 24
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $18.20 Jul 24
  • 0x5739…5f1a SELL Yes $197.97 Jul 24
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $54.89 Jul 24
  • 0x5b8d…a1ae BUY Yes $4.00 Jul 24
  • 0x8312…133d SELL No $29.05 Jul 24
  • 0x3f2d…2adc BUY Yes $7.18 Jul 24
  • 0xca41…0f02 SELL No $404.20 Jul 24
  • 0x8a00…e2c4 SELL No $411.72 Jul 24
  • 0xaa35…214a SELL No $423.00 Jul 24
  • 0x8a07…f329 SELL No $392.92 Jul 24
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $12.33 Jul 24
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $2.80 Jul 24
  • 0x84d4…77a9 BUY Yes $6.34 Jul 24
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa BUY No $2681.33 Jan 1
  • 0xafa2…e7c0 BUY No $28.24 Jan 1
  • 0x2763…5eed BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0xcfc4…6f2d BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0x2e69…200e SELL No $1.00 Dec 30
  • 0xc171…aa19 BUY No $1.00 Dec 30
  • 0x52ca…2453 BUY No $1.00 Dec 29
  • 0xfaf5…75e5 BUY No $1.00 Dec 29
  • 0x13ff…59dd BUY No $125.72 Dec 29
  • 0xc8b2…91c1 BUY No $87.32 Dec 29
  • 0xa5dd…a752 BUY No $104.19 Dec 29
  • 0xcff2…9e97 BUY No $86.67 Dec 29
  • 0x8a23…3179 BUY No $95.24 Dec 29
  • 0xf007…bb32 BUY No $88.56 Dec 29
  • 0xa77b…87f8 BUY No $83.30 Dec 29

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Comments

.merion Jun 17

you know where is drop?

Quilty Mar 11

Its over

deherminator Jan 29

Oh man I thought this market was for 2026. Didn't read well enough :/ All the other ones are for 26. Pffff

OtaBenga Jan 11

No chance