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Fed Decision in July?

Economic Policy Vol. $109,480,506 2189 traders

No change72%
25 bps increase27%
50+ bps increase1%
25 bps decrease0%
$109,480,506 Vol. Economic Policy

Outcomes

5
Chance
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
68% ▼ 5
25 bps increase
23% ▲ 6
50+ bps increase
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x19db…49a8 BUY Yes $5.00 18s ago
  • 0x50c8…bb80 BUY Yes $1.00 1m ago
  • 0xba64…8506 BUY No $8.87 2m ago
  • 0x435e…f153 BUY No $2.49 2m ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $2.83 2m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $99.90 2m ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $123.66 2m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $9.32 2m ago
  • 0xf6ab…fb13 BUY Yes $300.00 2m ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $499.50 2m ago
  • 0xd218…b5c9 BUY No $59.94 2m ago
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $39.96 2m ago
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $499.50 2m ago
  • 0x28bf…4a4e BUY No $39.96 2m ago
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $10.08 2m ago
  • 0xba5e…8122 BUY Yes $10.00 2m ago
  • 0x581c…d47d BUY Yes $5.00 3m ago
  • 0x4393…18f4 BUY No $4.92 3m ago
  • 0xa94e…24e0 BUY Yes $765.00 3m ago
  • 0x75a2…9931 BUY No $99.90 3m ago
  • 0xc87b…9152 BUY Yes $10.00 4m ago
  • 0xeb77…4e6b SELL Yes $1.24 4m ago
  • 0xeb77…4e6b BUY Yes $1.30 4m ago
  • 0x2b3e…6c17 SELL Yes $1.49 5m ago
  • 0x280e…2b32 BUY Yes $9.77 5m ago
  • 0x2b3e…6c17 BUY Yes $1.50 5m ago
  • 0xaff3…6ecc BUY Yes $5.00 5m ago
  • 0x861e…8a4f BUY Yes $1.48 6m ago
  • 0xb7f2…3a32 SELL Yes $0.70 7m ago
  • 0xa859…48b9 BUY Yes $42.33 8m ago
  • 0x3f04…628e BUY Yes $5.00 9m ago
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $46.42 9m ago
  • 0x9d9e…1c79 BUY Yes $10856.88 10m ago
  • 0xca23…f403 BUY Yes $12.40 11m ago
  • 0xca23…f403 BUY Yes $14.92 11m ago
  • 0x0e2c…9294 BUY Yes $12.40 11m ago
  • 0x0e2c…9294 BUY Yes $14.92 11m ago
  • 0xe907…cff6 BUY Yes $3.33 11m ago
  • 0xce9d…d53b SELL No $6.59 11m ago
  • 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL Yes $12.86 12m ago

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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