Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent trades
25- 0x16fa…d6f7 BUY No $1.01 13m ago
- 0xae2d…e7a7 BUY No $1.08 14m ago
- 0x8c02…efcc BUY No $1.02 14m ago
- 0x16c9…852b BUY No $1.03 15m ago
- 0x92b7…d66d BUY No $1.01 16m ago
- 0x9abc…cccc BUY No $1.07 17m ago
- 0x5e9c…d1a6 BUY No $1.02 18m ago
- 0x16f1…978d BUY No $1.02 18m ago
- 0xd37e…6831 BUY No $1.03 19m ago
- 0xa1da…e974 BUY No $1.02 20m ago
- 0x3ce9…65d9 BUY Yes $1.29 25m ago
- 0xfb76…221a BUY No $20.01 29m ago
- 0xa9c4…4ff4 BUY No $20.01 30m ago
- 0x4520…bcb8 BUY No $20.07 31m ago
- 0x9af6…c303 BUY No $19.98 31m ago
- 0x96c3…e387 BUY No $20.13 32m ago
- 0x66bd…d31a BUY No $19.99 33m ago
- 0xfc80…a65c BUY No $20.03 34m ago
- 0xccd5…fd9d BUY No $20.09 34m ago
- 0x6d41…4699 BUY No $19.95 35m ago
- 0xab2f…b157 BUY No $19.98 37m ago
- 0x32f1…07c4 BUY No $20.13 37m ago
- 0x31aa…b952 BUY No $20.06 38m ago
- 0x7294…1238 BUY No $20.06 39m ago
- 0x3144…e51f BUY No $19.95 40m ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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