Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Outcomes
10Recent trades
40- 0x6e02…c1f9 SELL Yes $10.45 6m ago
- 0xae1d…e333 BUY Yes $64.00 5h ago
- 0x8792…4174 BUY No $288.15 7h ago
- 0xeb49…693e SELL No $840.00 7h ago
- 0xc754…bb99 SELL No $0.99 9h ago
- 0x2f7d…0fa8 BUY Yes $9.13 9h ago
- 0xd397…5f62 BUY Yes $14.25 10h ago
- 0x655e…e0cc BUY No $1.01 10h ago
- 0xca08…c267 BUY No $1.28 10h ago
- 0x8b72…6dbe BUY Yes $96.00 10h ago
- 0x3eb9…9930 SELL Yes $0.48 10h ago
- 0xf9b7…60a4 SELL No $1839.91 10h ago
- 0x122c…fbed BUY No $77.42 10h ago
- 0xcf49…ca1b BUY No $2.03 12h ago
- 0x3885…77ab BUY No $4.53 12h ago
- 0x655e…e0cc BUY No $9.06 12h ago
- 0xa8c6…44e8 SELL No $4539.22 12h ago
- 0x1dcf…b04e SELL Yes $2.37 13h ago
- 0xa667…ceb3 SELL No $9.67 13h ago
- 0x174b…5a55 BUY Yes $100.00 14h ago
- 0x3eb9…9930 SELL Yes $0.11 14h ago
- 0xf0ed…47d8 SELL Yes $125.47 14h ago
- 0x371c…c236 BUY Yes $30.00 14h ago
- 0x60a8…7d37 SELL No $11.00 14h ago
- 0x2f7d…0fa8 SELL No $0.01 14h ago
- 0x60a9…5a71 SELL No $1908.39 14h ago
- 0x160e…617d SELL No $3.82 14h ago
- 0x87d1…3da3 SELL No $1.32 14h ago
- 0x60a9…5a71 SELL No $260.57 14h ago
- 0x5eda…92a7 SELL No $378.67 15h ago
- 0xaa62…e3e1 BUY Yes $1.00 15h ago
- 0xbb65…309b BUY Yes $100.00 15h ago
- 0x3fd4…f4df BUY Yes $1.00 16h ago
- 0x7e62…6cf7 SELL Yes $0.70 16h ago
- 0xc34a…6007 BUY No $77.00 16h ago
- 0xa6b7…d5f3 BUY No $1290.00 17h ago
- 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $57.14 17h ago
- 0x371c…c236 BUY Yes $24.00 17h ago
- 0x75ac…33d7 SELL Yes $39.15 17h ago
- 0xd222…fdb5 BUY Yes $15.00 20h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730 , including both the chart and downloadable files.
Comments
keep buying july 31 or go to math class
i will be using my winnings to pay for tuition
NO chads
Not Going To Happen
you guys know their just going to keep blowing up ship yeah?
Saudi vessels are a small minority of vessels passing
Saudi Arabia is attacking Yemen rn
More ship strikes and ts is cooked. Aint no one going to cross the strait while they’re firing at ships.
only saudis getting targeted
People give a 3% chance to something with 0% chance, interesting...
ur right
when does portwatch moving average update?
Too many ships crossing, it's going to take some time to count them all. 🫨
Tuesday. Truth social post today about final warnings for Houthis but we will see how they react. Saudi is not enough but if US gets involved we see fireworks in the strait.
around tuesday
if US gets involved ur thesis gets even weaker
what's stopping the houthis from de facto blockading every ship if US bombs them? all they need is a drone
The insurance cost of shipping goods through the southern Red Sea doubled for some companies on Thursday, after Yemen's Houthis attacked at least one tanker overnight, Reuters reports
They give permission and yes people are still buying eom
may or may not
Insurance companies cutting off ships still in the Red Sea as we speak
Add more dates if possible like Aug 8 and 15 tyvm
They’ll be closing it fully soon
the lowest MA went was 11 & it wasnt enough to satisfy market rules
Yemen’s Houthis say they carried out missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea after declaring a maritime embargo on the kingdom. In a statement posted, the Houthis said that they “carried out a qualitative military operation targeting two Saudi oil tankers that violated the blockade”, naming the vessels as the Encelia and the Layla. As we reported earlier, the UK’s Maritime Trade Operations organisation said that it had received reports of a tanker being struck 70 nautical miles (130km) from Saudi Arabia’s town of Al Shuqaiq.
The Banana strait is more open than ever. Free trade carries on. Capitalism is so incredibly beautiful. 🥹
IRGC-BACKED HOUTHIS CLAIM A MISSILE AND DRONE ATTACK ON SAUDI OIL TANKERS ENCELIA AND LAYLA IN THE RED SEA, CAUSING MAJOR FIRES.
ship just went boom
Bab Al-Mandab Strait is officially closed! The Houthi controlled Yemeni Armed Forces have announced a major military operation targeting two Saudi oil tankers, ENCELIA and LAYLA, alleging that both vessels violated the maritime restrictions imposed by Yemen's Armed Forces. According to the statement, the operation was carried out using multiple ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and one-way attack drones. The statement did not immediately provide details on the extent of the damage or the condition of the vessels.
Not how it works, read the rules
Houthi ISIS terrorists have threatened to target Saudi Arabia ships but not yet other countries. Even if they follow through that is likely more than 10 ships that would pass in. Also 3 more days until July is free bond N.
what the fuck are you on about? ISIS are a US asset. Houthis are aligned with Iran, retard.
and? is this supposed to make july 31 magically resolve yes?
houthis talk a lotta shit but i don't think they got hands to close it to less than 10 for a 7dma
This aged well
very well in fact
Best guess is likely no. Lowest recorded value in recent years is 25.1. It happened when Houthis were targeting commercial vessels using very loose criteria. They don't control the strait anyway and probably can't afford to piss off every major world power.
The Houthis prevented four Saudi oil tankers carrying around 5 million barrels of crude from departing today.
Went up to 6 ships
trump confirmed. TRUMP ON HOUTHI BLOCKADE: WE'LL JUST HAVE TO TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS
owari da o7
Bloomberg just reporting that a Chinese oil tanker u-turned in the Red Sea after the Houthi attack threat
slam it
Yemeni Houthis have warned shipping firms to avoid loading or discharging at Saudi ports
Oil shut be up much more given the current events...
Houthi has blocked the bab. Keep dumping notards. Hit my limit buy orders
Bruh bruh. Read the statement, blocade just saudi. Full closure is being saved for Iranian infrastructure targeting
well thank you for helping our side
Until houthis HIT a ship this + oil will not react imo
Houthi militants in Yemen on Monday declared a maritime embargo against Saudi Arabia effective immediately, threatening to exacerbate the oil supply disruption triggered by Iran’s attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
The Yemeni Armed Forces announce the prohibition of maritime navigation by the criminal Saudi enemy under the principle of "blockade for blockade." This decision enters into force from the moment this statement is issued.
Things are heating up
Why this didnt Sky rocket yes
there's doubts about the Houthi's willingness/capacity to deliver and also how long it might take. I think the current prices are probably fair.
I see thanks
I reckon it will jump as soon as a boat gets touched
Iranian media is saying that the US targeted power plants, which was their red line for having the Houthis close baba ganoush
BREAKING: A source close to Iran's Ghalibaf says Yemen has begun blocking the Bab el-Mandab Strait, with initial warnings issued to passing ships in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandab. He says, in the past 48 hours, two Iranian strikes on two ships off Oman's coast, additional warning shots, and one ship seized have been carried out, and a new formation has been established on the opposite side of Bab el-Mandab. The decision will be made at "zero hour."
Babel Man Boob
The US has just struck a key Iranian road bridge connecting Bandar Abbas to other cities inland, dropping it into the Shur River. The strike has killed at least 2 people, injured 4, and caused power outages in the area.