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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 13% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% Yes No
126 more
$1276.1MVol. 7 nov United States

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 32% Yes No
Jordan Bardella 2% Yes No
126 more
$131.1MVol. 30 apr French Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump 2% Yes No
J.D. Vance 46% Yes No
126 more
$702.2MVol. 7 nov United States

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 72% Yes No
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 1% Yes No
32 more
$26.8MVol. 20 sept Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 79% Yes No
Republican Party 13% Yes No
7 more
$10.7MVol. 3 nov Parent For Derivative

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 22% Yes No
Gavin Newsom 7% Yes No
126 more
$704.3MVol. 7 nov President

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Ulf Kristersson 17% Yes No
Magdalena Andersson 75% Yes No
34 more
$5.3MVol. 13 sept Elections

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

CDU 1% Yes No
AfD 73% Yes No
22 more
$1.0MVol. 20 sept World

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1% Yes No
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 23% Yes No
30 more
$6.9MVol. 4 oct Brazil

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

<280 2% Yes No
280–294 1% Yes No
5 more
$550.1KVol. 20 sept Russia Election

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu 25% Yes No
Naftali Bennett 6% Yes No
26 more
$37.0MVol. 31 dec Main Election

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 19% Yes No
AfD 11% Yes No
22 more
$3.6MVol. 20 sept World Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 45% Yes No
D Senate, R House 1% Yes No
3 more
$11.5MVol. 3 nov United States

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

1%

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢
$672.0KVol. 21 sept Russia

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D) 47% Yes No
Jon Husted (R) 44% Yes No
11 more
$297.5KVol. 3 nov Ohio Midterm

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 1% Yes No
Sweden Democrats (SD) 69% Yes No
34 more
$192.1KVol. 13 sept Politics

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 90% Yes No
Sweden Democrats (SD) 1% Yes No
34 more
$1.7MVol. 13 sept Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

CDU 10% Yes No
AfD 1% Yes No
22 more
$84.8KVol. 20 sept World

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D) 57% Yes No
Mike Rogers (R) 34% Yes No
11 more
$704.1KVol. 3 nov Michigan Midterm

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?

<25% 1% Yes No
25-28% 2% Yes No
2 more
$79.1KVol. 21 sept World