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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

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25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

OpenAI

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 2026 44% Yes No
December 31, 2026 67% Yes No
1 more
$57.0KVol. 1 jan AI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

78%

Chance

Yes78¢ No41¢
$358.0KVol. 31 dec sam altman

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google 9% Yes No
Anthropic 57% Yes No
24 more
$1.2MVol. 1 jan Tech

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

23%

Chance

Yes23¢ No41¢
$228.1KVol. 31 dec Tech

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 38% Yes No
OpenAI 2% Yes No
72 more
$6.0MVol. 31 dec Climate & Science

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

September 30, 2026 9% Yes No
December 31, 2026 9% Yes No
$6.2KVol. 1 jan AI

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$3.0T 4% Yes No
↑$2.5T 6% Yes No
13 more
$1.1MVol. 1 jan Finance

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

<$1T 5% Yes No
$1.0T–$1.25T 9% Yes No
6 more
$127.4KVol. 1 jul Finance

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 64% Yes No
1490+ 37% Yes No
3 more
$312.1KVol. 14 aug AI

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B 1% Yes No
500–750B 1% Yes No
5 more
$238.8KVol. 1 jan IPO

GPT-7 released by...?

June 30, 2027 39% Yes No
December 31, 2027 73% Yes No
$12.4KVol. 1 jan AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

55%

Chance

Yes55¢ No41¢
$2.3KVol. 1 jan AI

How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?

<$30B 20% Yes No
$30B–$40B 4% Yes No
7 more
$7.1KVol. 31 dec Finance

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

October 31 61% Yes No
December 31 81% Yes No
$2.0KVol. 1 jan AI

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B 1% Yes No
500–750B 1% Yes No
5 more
$2.1MVol. 1 jan IPO

OpenAI IPO by...?

August 31, 2026 1% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No
6 more
$2.9MVol. 31 dec OpenAI IPO

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?

↑$1.525T 2% Yes No
↑$1.275T 5% Yes No
7 more
$27.5KVol. 1 oct OpenAI

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 90% Yes No
55%+ 76% Yes No
3 more
$93.0KVol. 1 jan AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

8%

Chance

Yes8¢ No41¢
$20.0KVol. 1 jan AI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Morgan Stanley 11% Yes No
Goldman Sachs 79% Yes No
17 more
$50.9KVol. 31 dec IPOs