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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Ukraine

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
July 31, 2026 1% Yes No
3 more
$23.5MVol. 1 jul Putin

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

Turkey 1% Yes No
Russia 1% Yes No
28 more
$3.4MVol. 1 jan Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Belarus 1% Yes No
Turkey 1% Yes No
13 more
$1.0MVol. 1 jan Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

May 31 1% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
16 more
$7.5MVol. 1 jul Politics

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

June 30 1% Yes No
September 30 13% Yes No
4 more
$659.9KVol. 1 jan Putin

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

May 31 1% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
2 more
$1.9MVol. 1 jan Geopolitics

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

September 1 90% Yes No
September 2 90% Yes No
28 more
$69.7KVol. 1 oct Kyiv

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

August 31 1% Yes No
September 30 34% Yes No
3 more
$164.0KVol. 1 jan Putin

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

September 30 3% Yes No
October 31 13% Yes No
1 more
$216.7KVol. 1 jan Putin

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Chance

Yes9¢ No41¢
$2.7MVol. 1 jan Geopolitics

Trump meets with Putin by...?

June 30 1% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No
1 more
$246.7KVol. 1 jan Politics

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31, 2025 1% Yes No
October 31 7% Yes No
4 more
$6.7MVol. 1 jan NATO

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

6%

Chance

Yes6¢ No41¢
$3.2MVol. 31 dec Ukraine

Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

August 31 1% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No
$508.0KVol. 30 sept Iran

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Caspian Sea by...?

July 31 1% Yes No
August 31 3% Yes No
1 more
$41.4KVol. 30 sept Putin

Moscow air traffic suspended by...?

August 31 1% Yes No
September 15 33% Yes No
$41.2KVol. 16 sept Putin

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

August 31, 2026 1% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
$812.0KVol. 1 jan zelenskyy

Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?

September 11 15% Yes No
September 15 50% Yes No
$982Vol. 15 sept Putin

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

June 30 1% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No
2 more
$6.3MVol. 1 jan NATO

Russia nuclear test by...?

November 30 1% Yes No
December 31 1% Yes No
4 more
$6.2MVol. 1 jan Politics