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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

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25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

UK

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Mr Speaker 30+ times 3% Yes No
Mr Speaker 20+ times 5% Yes No
13 more
$7.2KVol. 17 sept UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner

Sagal Abdi-Wali 65% Yes No
Pat Callaghan 1% Yes No
73 more
$30.6KVol. 1 jul UK

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0% 1% Yes No
1.0–1.4% 3% Yes No
7 more
$91.1KVol. 20 jan Macro indicators

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Louise Haigh 3% Yes No
John Healey 11% Yes No
21 more
$91.2KVol. 1 jan UK

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Simeon Barclay 12% Yes No
Kira Freije 27% Yes No
14 more
$14.2KVol. 11 dec UK

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

July 31 1% Yes No
December 31 8% Yes No
1 more
$300.1KVol. 1 jan UK

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

December 31, 2026 17% Yes No
March 31, 2027 25% Yes No
$272.7KVol. 1 apr UK

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Alfred Cannan 36% Yes No
Jane Poole-Wilson 15% Yes No
31 more
$39.9KVol. 25 sept UK

Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.70 5% Yes No
↑1.60 10% Yes No
9 more
$60.4KVol. 31 dec Finance

Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by...?

October 31 14% Yes No
December 31 13% Yes No
$1.7KVol. 1 jan UK

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Negative 5% Yes No
0.0–0.1% 20% Yes No
5 more
$19.0KVol. 12 nov UK

European military action against Iran by...?

July 31 1% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No
2 more
$325.5KVol. 1 jan UK

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

≤5 2% Yes No
6 67% Yes No
4 more
$30.0KVol. 1 jan UK

UK election called by...?

March 31 1% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
4 more
$823.8KVol. 1 jul UK

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

2%

Chance

Yes2¢ No41¢
$222.0KVol. 31 dec Politics

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

1 1% Yes No
2 78% Yes No
2 more
$122.3KVol. 1 jan UK

UK social media ban in effect by…?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2027 36% Yes No
$2.6KVol. 1 jul UK