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PolyBet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape
  • $11 YES
    FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND… 0x6b77…fc93
  • $4 YES
    LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Chall… 0xcd27…3573
  • $12 YES
    Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U… 0x83c6…1ba6
  • $6 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x5391…fee2
  • $11 YES
    Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning AND… 0x081c…4876
  • $11 YES
    Targu Mures: Lucija Bagaric vs Rachel Gailis A… 0x4d1f…d33b
  • $12 YES
    GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5 AND Cou… 0x47c1…d6ca
  • $10 YES
    Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shel… 0xe80f…c8a4
  • $5 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x5391…fee2
  • $10 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x0e03…e64f
  • $15 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x857f…e4f1
  • $11 YES
    San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel AN… 0xe41f…988a

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $343.17M
24h volume $30.43M
YES 19.9% NO 80.1%

Movies

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Wicked: For Good 1%
Wuthering Heights 1% 26 more
$15.8MVol. 31 dec Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

<200m 1%
200-220m 1% 4 more
$260.7KVol. 3 aug Movies

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

May 31 1%
June 30 1% 10 more
$30.7MVol. 1 jan Culture

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Wicked: For Good 1%
72 Hours 2% 16 more
$97.3KVol. 29 jul Movies

“Spider-Man: Brand New Day” Rotten Tomatoes Score?

80+ 89%
85+ 86% 2 more
$35.9KVol. 3 aug Movies

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)

<280m 13%
280-290m 7% 7 more
$10.8KVol. 3 aug Movies

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Wicked: For Good 1%
72 Hours 89% 16 more
$33.1KVol. 29 jul Movies

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

<400m 1%
400 - 500m 1% 5 more
$18.5KVol. 1 sept Movies

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

The Hawk: Season 1 90%
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 1% 16 more
$30.8KVol. 29 jul Movies

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

The Hawk: Season 1 89%
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 1% 16 more
$23.5KVol. 29 jul Movies

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Wuthering Heights 1%
Scream 7 1% 25 more
$1.8MVol. 31 dec The Odyssey

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

The Hawk: Season 1 1%
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 1% 16 more
$22.7KVol. 29 jul Movies

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

The Hawk: Season 1 1%
Little House on the Prairie: Season 1 1% 16 more
$30.8KVol. 29 jul Movies

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Michael 1%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu 1% 34 more
$35.1KVol. 31 dec Movies

Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Simu Liu as Shang-Chi 90%
Hayley Atwell as Peggy Carter 90% 21 more
$87.5KVol. 18 dec Movies

What will be said during Episode 10 of Big Brother?

Prize 5+ times 1%
Power 5+ times 90% 15 more
$10.4KVol. 27 jul Movies

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office

<120m 5%
120-128m 9% 4 more
$5.9KVol. 1 aug Movies

Harvey Weinstein prison time?

No Prison Time 89%
<5 years 1% 4 more
$1.1MVol. 31 dec Courts

What will be said during the seventh episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?

Dragon 20+ times 65%
Grace 20+ times 68% 20 more
$1,000Vol. 3 aug Movies

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Wicked: For Good 1%
72 Hours 90% 17 more
$21.3KVol. 29 jul Movies