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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 85% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 5% Yes No
11 more
$52.2MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 66% Yes No
Microsoft 1% Yes No
26 more
$7.1MVol. 31 dec Economy

Largest Company end of September?

Alphabet 1% Yes No
Tesla 1% Yes No
23 more
$1.6MVol. 1 oct Tech

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

78%

Chance

Yes78¢ No41¢
$358.0KVol. 31 dec sam altman

3rd Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA 1% Yes No
Microsoft 5% Yes No
27 more
$170.1KVol. 1 oct Tech

2nd Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA 3% Yes No
Microsoft 1% Yes No
27 more
$96.6KVol. 1 oct Tech

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX 38% Yes No
OpenAI 2% Yes No
72 more
$6.0MVol. 31 dec Climate & Science

IPOs before 2027?

Discord 13% Yes No
Stripe 5% Yes No
32 more
$7.2MVol. 1 jan Business

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

December 31, 2026 28% Yes No
March 31, 2027 51% Yes No
1 more
$5.0KVol. 1 jul AI

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B 1% Yes No
500–750B 1% Yes No
5 more
$238.8KVol. 1 jan IPO

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Brown-Forman 13% Yes No
MGM Resorts 30% Yes No
17 more
$18.2MVol. 1 jan Business

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

<$1.50 11% Yes No
$1.50-$2.00 9% Yes No
5 more
$49.4KVol. 1 jan AI

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

<$3.00 3% Yes No
$3.00-$3.50 3% Yes No
8 more
$71.0KVol. 1 jan AI

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

June 30 1% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No
2 more
$67.9KVol. 1 oct Politics

GPU rental prices (H100) end of September?

<$2.25 4% Yes No
$2.25-$2.50 6% Yes No
4 more
$32.2KVol. 1 oct AI

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

<$0.40 1% Yes No
$0.40-$0.45 3% Yes No
4 more
$23.0KVol. 1 nov AI

SB Energy IPO by...?

September 30 66% Yes No
October 31 77% Yes No
1 more
$7.2KVol. 1 jan AI

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

<5B 1% Yes No
5–8B 2% Yes No
6 more
$70.2KVol. 1 jan IPO

OpenAI IPO by...?

August 31, 2026 1% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No
6 more
$2.9MVol. 31 dec OpenAI IPO

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 10% Yes No
Microsoft 4% Yes No
27 more
$15.0KVol. 1 jan Tech