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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

qa4d9e9d9dff

bounty-probe-x1

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bounty-probe-x1

25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Oil

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

↑ $150 1% Yes No
↑ $140 2% Yes No
26 more
$3.3MVol. 1 oct Finance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

1%

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢
$2.1MVol. 15 sept Oil

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

May 31 1% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
10 more
$12.8MVol. 1 jan Politics

Crude Oil all time high by...?

May 31 1% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No
2 more
$3.6MVol. 1 jan Oil

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Chance

Yes1¢ No41¢
$8.4MVol. 30 sept Oil

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

7%

Chance

Yes7¢ No41¢
$602.7KVol. 31 oct Oil

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of September 7 2026?

↑ $125 1% Yes No
↑ $120 2% Yes No
15 more
$95.2KVol. 12 sept Finance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

10%

Chance

Yes10¢ No41¢
$306.1KVol. 1 dec Oil

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

July 1% Yes No
August 1% Yes No
5 more
$418.6KVol. 1 jan Oil

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 11?

$104 13% Yes No
$103 15% Yes No
9 more
$16.0KVol. 12 sept Finance

Houthis enter Aden by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
October 31 10% Yes No
1 more
$8.5KVol. 1 jan Oil

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

<20 10% Yes No
20-24 22% Yes No
4 more
$22.7KVol. 14 sept Oil

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 11?

10%

Chance

Yes10¢ No41¢
$6.6KVol. 12 sept Finance

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 31 1% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No
$144.8KVol. 1 oct Oil

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

September 15 6% Yes No
September 30 11% Yes No
$5.1KVol. 1 oct Oil

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

July 15 1% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No
4 more
$2.8MVol. 1 jan Iran

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?

<170 26% Yes No
170-189 32% Yes No
3 more
$42.2KVol. 14 sept Oil

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

September 11 6% Yes No
September 13 15% Yes No
1 more
$2.9KVol. 16 sept Oil

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?

280M 68% Yes No
270M 9% Yes No
3 more
$44.1KVol. 8 oct Oil

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

10+ 47% Yes No
20+ 11% Yes No
3 more
$26.2KVol. 1 oct Oil