Sign Up

PolyBet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape
  • $11 YES
    FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND… 0x6b77…fc93
  • $4 YES
    LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Chall… 0xcd27…3573
  • $12 YES
    Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U… 0x83c6…1ba6
  • $6 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x5391…fee2
  • $11 YES
    Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning AND… 0x081c…4876
  • $11 YES
    Targu Mures: Lucija Bagaric vs Rachel Gailis A… 0x4d1f…d33b
  • $12 YES
    GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5 AND Cou… 0x47c1…d6ca
  • $10 YES
    Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shel… 0xe80f…c8a4
  • $5 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x5391…fee2
  • $10 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x0e03…e64f
  • $15 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x857f…e4f1
  • $11 YES
    San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel AN… 0xe41f…988a

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $343.17M
24h volume $30.43M
YES 19.9% NO 80.1%

Macro indicators

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 2%
25 bps decrease 9% 3 more
$358.3KVol. 29 oct Fed

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 3%
↑ 5.5% 2% 19 more
$1.7MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

July Inflation US - Annual

≤3.1% 5%
3.2% 4% 10 more
$122.1KVol. 12 aug CPI

How many jobs added in July?

<0 9%
0 – 50k 23% 4 more
$15.7KVol. 7 aug NFP

Bank of Russia decision in September?

Decrease 25%
No Change 64% 1 more
$42.3KVol. 12 sept macro

Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?

<-0.5% 1%
0.0-0.5% 6% 6 more
$33.7KVol. 30 jul Macro indicators

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

50+ bps decrease 1%
25 bps decrease 1% 3 more
$146.7KVol. 10 sept ECB

Bank of England decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1%
25 bps decrease 1% 3 more
$71.5KVol. 18 sept BOE

Core PCE YoY - June 2026

≤3.3% 75%
3.4% 14% 5 more
$18.3KVol. 30 jul PCE

Bank of Russia decision in October?

Decrease 32%
No Change 41% 1 more
$2.2KVol. 24 oct macro

Price of Dozen Eggs in July?

<$1.50 1%
$1.50–$1.75 1% 8 more
$17.1KVol. 12 aug CPI

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

<1.0% 5%
1.0–1.5% 13% 5 more
$20.9KVol. 30 jul Economy

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

50+ bps increase 1%
25 bps increase 3% 3 more
$28.9KVol. 15 sept Brazil

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

50+ bps decrease 8%
25 bps decrease 5% 3 more
$1.5KVol. 29 oct ECB

Core CPI MoM - July 2026

≤0.0% 2%
0.1% 24% 5 more
$62.5KVol. 12 aug CPI

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

Increase 1%
No Change 59% 1 more
$23.3KVol. 1 oct China

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

<0 4%
0-1% 44% 5 more
$59.3KVol. 12 feb GDP

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4.5% 21%
Above 3% 90% 6 more
$1.3MVol. 31 dec Inflation

July Inflation US - Monthly

≤-0.7% 43%
-0.6% 1% 7 more
$56.7KVol. 12 aug CPI

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0% 1%
1.0–1.2% 1% 7 more
$29.5KVol. 19 jan Macro indicators