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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

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bounty-probe-x1

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bounty-probe-x1

25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Macro indicators

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 2% Yes No
3 more
$1.5MVol. 29 oct Fed

Bank of Russia decision in September?

Decrease 17% Yes No
No Change 72% Yes No
1 more
$442.1KVol. 12 sept macro

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 4% Yes No
3 more
$636.3KVol. 10 dec Fed

August Inflation US - Annual

≤2.9% 1% Yes No
3.0% 1% Yes No
10 more
$112.4KVol. 11 sept CPI

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$103.2KVol. 29 oct ECB

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 4.5% 11% Yes No
Above 3% 90% Yes No
6 more
$1.4MVol. 1 jan Inflation

Core CPI MoM - August 2026

≤0.0% 1% Yes No
0.1% 8% Yes No
5 more
$50.1KVol. 11 sept CPI

Bank of England decision in November?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$64.7KVol. 6 nov BOE

August Inflation US - Monthly

≤-0.3% 1% Yes No
-0.2% 1% Yes No
7 more
$71.1KVol. 11 sept CPI

Bank of England decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$264.2KVol. 18 sept BOE

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 2% Yes No
↑ 5.5% 3% Yes No
19 more
$1.8MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

50+ bps increase 1% Yes No
25 bps increase 1% Yes No
3 more
$143.3KVol. 15 sept Brazil

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0% 1% Yes No
1.0–1.4% 3% Yes No
7 more
$91.1KVol. 20 jan Macro indicators

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

<$1.80 1% Yes No
$1.80–$1.90 1% Yes No
8 more
$41.9KVol. 11 sept CPI

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

<1.0% 1% Yes No
1.0–2.0% 1% Yes No
8 more
$900.1KVol. 31 jan China

Core CPI YoY - August 2026

≤2.0% 1% Yes No
2.1% 2% Yes No
8 more
$27.6KVol. 11 sept CPI

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

<2.0% 1% Yes No
2.0-2.2% 1% Yes No
5 more
$28.4KVol. 31 dec Japan

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

<0% 1% Yes No
0-1.0% 31% Yes No
7 more
$41.7KVol. 31 jan Macro indicators

Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)

<0.0% 25% Yes No
0.0 to 0.1% 50% Yes No
4 more
$4.0KVol. 29 sept GDP

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

≤-0.1% 2% Yes No
0.0% 4% Yes No
5 more
$7.4KVol. 30 sept PCE