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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

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bounty-probe-x1

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25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Fed

Fed Decision in September?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 1% Yes No
3 more
$115.8MVol. 16 sept fomc

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 85% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 5% Yes No
11 more
$52.2MVol. 31 dec Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 2% Yes No
3 more
$1.5MVol. 29 oct Fed

Fed rate hike by...?

April Meeting 1% Yes No
June Meeting 1% Yes No
3 more
$3.0MVol. 29 oct Fed

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease 1% Yes No
25 bps decrease 4% Yes No
3 more
$636.3KVol. 10 dec Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

65%

Chance

Yes65¢ No41¢
$8.9MVol. 9 dec CPI Release

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

0 (0 bps) 19% Yes No
1 (25 bps) 40% Yes No
4 more
$351.0KVol. 1 jan Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting 1% Yes No
March Meeting 1% Yes No
6 more
$3.5MVol. 8 jan Jerome Powell

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 16% Yes No
Hike–Pause–Pause 15% Yes No
7 more
$23.4KVol. 10 dec Fed

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Cut–Pause–Pause 1% Yes No
Cut–Pause–Cut 1% Yes No
7 more
$849.3KVol. 16 sept Fed

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↑ 5.0% 2% Yes No
↑ 5.5% 2% Yes No
19 more
$1.8MVol. 31 dec Jerome Powell

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

2.25% 1% Yes No
2.5% 1% Yes No
13 more
$6.8MVol. 9 dec Fed Rates

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

0 10% Yes No
1 12% Yes No
3 more
$26.3KVol. 17 sept Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
$33.1KVol. 1 jul Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Inflation 40+ times 37% Yes No
Inflation 20+ times 52% Yes No
20 more
$1.1KVol. 17 sept Fed

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease 4% Yes No
25 bps decrease 11% Yes No
3 more
$69.1KVol. 28 jan Fed

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

6%

Chance

Yes6¢ No41¢
$14.9KVol. 1 jan Fed

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

5%

Chance

Yes5¢ No41¢
$209.6KVol. 1 jan Business

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Cut–Pause–Pause 1% Yes No
Cut–Pause–Cut 1% Yes No
7 more
$749.9KVol. 29 oct Fed

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

0 17% Yes No
1 17% Yes No
3 more
$9.9KVol. 28 jan Fed