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PolyBet

Trade what happens next

Trade probabilities on future events. Each position’s price is set by supply and demand.

Live tape
  • $11 YES
    FC Drita vs. Floriana FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND… 0x6b77…fc93
  • $4 YES
    LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Chall… 0xcd27…3573
  • $12 YES
    Apóllon Lemesoú vs. SK Dila Gori: 1st Half O/U… 0x83c6…1ba6
  • $6 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x5391…fee2
  • $11 YES
    Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning AND… 0x081c…4876
  • $11 YES
    Targu Mures: Lucija Bagaric vs Rachel Gailis A… 0x4d1f…d33b
  • $12 YES
    GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5 AND Cou… 0x47c1…d6ca
  • $10 YES
    Mubadala Citi DC Open: Martin Damm vs Ben Shel… 0xe80f…c8a4
  • $5 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x5391…fee2
  • $10 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x0e03…e64f
  • $15 YES
    LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN… 0x857f…e4f1
  • $11 YES
    San Marino: Timofey Skatov vs Thomas Faurel AN… 0xe41f…988a

Market brief

Current distribution of market expectations

Open interest $343.17M
24h volume $30.43M
YES 19.9% NO 80.1%

Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election

Tarcisio de Freitas 1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 58% 30 more
$116.2MVol. 4 oct Politics

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo 37%
Rodrigo Pacheco 4% 28 more
$109.0KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 5% 30 more
$4.3MVol. 4 oct Brazil

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

50+ bps increase 1%
25 bps increase 1% 3 more
$166.4KVol. 4 aug Economy

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas 85%
Fernando Haddad 5% 23 more
$246.2KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5% 13%
Lula da Silva 5-10% 37% 9 more
$297.7KVol. 4 oct World

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

50+ bps increase 1%
25 bps increase 3% 3 more
$28.9KVol. 15 sept Brazil

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Jerônimo Rodrigues 46%
ACM Neto 45% 26 more
$86.5KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Dr. Luizinho 1%
Eduardo Pazuello 1% 21 more
$270.0KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Tarcisio de Freitas 1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 1% 30 more
$481.7KVol. 4 oct Brazil

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Romeu Zema 4%
Ronaldo Caiado 4% 7 more
$439.9KVol. 4 oct Politics

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

<3.00% 2%
3.00-3.49% 2% 8 more
$77.6KVol. 12 jan Brazil

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

80%

Chance

Yes80¢ No41¢
$126.0KVol. 15 aug Brazil

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro 74%
Requião Filho 2% 16 more
$29.5KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Pará Governor Election Winner

Hana Ghassan 38%
Dr. Daniel Santos 45% 16 more
$22.1KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL 78%
PSD 1% 37 more
$19.1KVol. 4 oct World Elections

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

João Campos 41%
Raquel Lyra 51% 10 more
$21.0KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Felipe Camarão 3%
André Luís 1% 15 more
$18.8KVol. 5 oct Brazil

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Elmano de Freitas 24%
Ciro Gomes 63% 24 more
$113.2KVol. 4 oct Politics

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Juliana Brizola 33%
Marcelo Maranata 1% 14 more
$88.5KVol. 4 oct Brazil