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Fed Decision in September?

fomc·Economic Policy·Fed Rates

25 bps decrease

<1%

No change

39%

25 bps increase

62%

50+ bps increase

<1%

qa4d9e9d9dff

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25 bps decrease<1%

No change39%

25 bps increase62%

50+ bps increase<1%

$116M Vol

Ends Sep 16, 2026

France

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 32% Yes No
Jordan Bardella 2% Yes No
126 more
$131.1MVol. 30 apr French Election

Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?

19°C or below 1% Yes No
20°C 1% Yes No
9 more
$31.1KVol. 11 sept Weather

Highest temperature in Paris on September 12?

20°C or below 1% Yes No
21°C 1% Yes No
9 more
$14.6KVol. 12 sept Weather

Lowest temperature in Paris on September 12?

8°C or below 1% Yes No
9°C 1% Yes No
9 more
$5.3KVol. 12 sept Weather

Lowest temperature in Paris on September 11?

10°C or below 1% Yes No
11°C 1% Yes No
9 more
$6.6KVol. 11 sept Weather

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Segolene Royal 2% Yes No
Olivier Faure 18% Yes No
47 more
$46.6KVol. 1 nov France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Marine Le Pen 80% Yes No
Jordan Bardella 12% Yes No
44 more
$380.2KVol. 17 apr Politics

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen 80% Yes No
Jordan Bardella 5% Yes No
35 more
$123.8KVol. 30 apr Politics

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Éric Zemmour 64% Yes No
Jordan Bardella 8% Yes No
19 more
$80.9KVol. 23 apr Elections

SER Seat Count after French Senate Election?

<56 5% Yes No
56-58 19% Yes No
5 more
$12.5KVol. 13 oct France

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

Raphaël Glucksmann 21% Yes No
Olivier Faure 34% Yes No
31 more
$620Vol. 10 oct France

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

July 31, 2026 1% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No
6 more
$348.9KVol. 1 jan Politics

Highest temperature in Paris on September 13?

22°C or below 1% Yes No
23°C 6% Yes No
9 more
$289Vol. 13 sept Weather

Macron out by...?

December 31, 2025 1% Yes No
July 31, 2026 1% Yes No
3 more
$2.2MVol. 1 jan France

Lowest temperature in Paris on September 13?

9°C or below 1% Yes No
10°C 2% Yes No
9 more
$240Vol. 13 sept Weather

French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

Raphaël Glucksmann 52% Yes No
Olivier Faure 18% Yes No
31 more
$750Vol. 10 oct France

France United Left Primary Winner

Clémentine Autain 1% Yes No
Lydie Massard 1% Yes No
23 more
$223.5KVol. 11 oct Politics

European military action against Iran by...?

July 31 1% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No
2 more
$325.5KVol. 1 jan UK

Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

35%

Chance

Yes35¢ No41¢
$40Vol. 10 oct France

2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

Gabriel Attal 10% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 64% Yes No
2 more
$3.6KVol. 18 apr France