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China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

China Vol. $6,012 50 traders

Yes18%
No83%
$6,012 Vol. China
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
14% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $8.20 7h ago
  • 0x5c0a…a2c3 SELL Yes $1.08 11h ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e BUY Yes $10.00 20h ago
  • 0xfd5a…aa7a BUY Yes $4.28 20h ago
  • 0x72f7…4345 BUY Yes $7.89 20h ago
  • 0xc41d…43d4 SELL Yes $21.93 20h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $14.11 Jul 27
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $8.50 Jul 27
  • 0x51de…9e4a SELL Yes $139.35 Jul 27
  • 0xda00…61b4 SELL Yes $9.50 Jul 27
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $9.50 Jul 27
  • 0x529a…4c1d SELL Yes $1.92 Jul 26
  • 0xac6a…2ed3 SELL No $9.46 Jul 26
  • 0xeec5…b6fe SELL No $98.40 Jul 26
  • 0x9bf2…57d4 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 26
  • 0xd62b…ceec SELL Yes $9.00 Jul 25
  • 0x377d…dddd SELL Yes $0.90 Jul 25
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $9.52 Jul 25
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $1.56 Jul 25
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $10.00 Jul 25
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $9.60 Jul 25
  • 0xaa99…dbbf SELL Yes $90.20 Jul 25
  • 0x475a…0364 BUY No $10.00 Jul 24
  • 0x377d…dddd SELL No $7.40 Jul 22
  • 0xc41d…43d4 BUY Yes $30.00 Jul 22

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

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