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France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

World Vol. $10,609 50 traders

16% Chance34%
$10,609 Vol. Dec 31, 2027
France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
13% 10%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Market Opened: Oct 20, 2026, 8:24 PM ET