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How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Economy Vol. $221,372 50 traders

$221,372 Vol.Dec 30, 2026PolyBet
Below 5.25%
$4,201 Vol.
69% 6%
Below 5.20%
$25,721 Vol.
51% 6%
Below 5.15%
$25,287 Vol.
41% 4%
Below 5.10%
$26,379 Vol.
36% 2%
Below 5.05%
$23,663 Vol.
29% 5%
Below 5.00%
$24,089 Vol.
23% 1%
Below 4.95%
$19,298 Vol.
12% 2%
Below 4.90%
$23,296 Vol.
11%
Below 4.80%
$20,146 Vol.
7% 1%
Below 4.60%
$29,291 Vol.
5%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is...

Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET