← Markets
Chance
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
May 300%
December 3136%
Loading chart…
Outcomes
2May 30 Resolved
1%
December 31
33%
▲ 4
Recent trades
40- 0xd056…f1be SELL No $149.85 1h ago
- 0xa0d3…5b5e BUY Yes $6.84 3h ago
- 0x3c91…9af7 BUY Yes $7.00 3h ago
- 0x442c…3db8 BUY No $6.60 10h ago
- 0xde36…0622 SELL No $3.25 12h ago
- 0xa0d3…5b5e BUY Yes $2.72 18h ago
- 0x3c91…9af7 BUY Yes $33.79 18h ago
- 0x3080…337b BUY No $4.14 21h ago
- 0xa0d3…5b5e BUY Yes $9.90 21h ago
- 0x3c91…9af7 BUY Yes $23.10 21h ago
- 0xfbda…fdbb SELL No $15.61 23h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $4.00 23h ago
- 0x96fc…edc6 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
- 0x96fc…edc6 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 27
- 0x3c91…9af7 BUY Yes $7.00 Jul 27
- 0xa3a9…6c89 SELL No $58.84 Jul 27
- 0x839f…d3f5 BUY No $1.00 Jul 26
- 0x42c7…c415 BUY No $14.72 Jul 26
- 0x84d4…77a9 BUY No $72.76 Jul 26
- 0x4b9b…7a9f BUY No $10.00 Jul 26
- 0x5449…992b BUY No $1.75 Jul 26
- 0xb7f0…6920 BUY No $2.00 Jul 26
- 0x9f77…cc51 BUY No $10.00 Jul 26
- 0x0f18…5b28 BUY No $17.96 Jul 26
- 0x184b…67b2 BUY No $1.09 Jul 26
- 0xa069…718d SELL No $108.58 Jun 1
- 0xe0dc…3944 SELL No $267.39 May 31
- 0x0873…09e8 SELL Yes $0.30 May 30
- 0x61f7…d633 SELL No $15.39 May 30
- 0xb5c4…cb3b SELL No $22.98 May 30
- 0xedbc…c303 SELL No $1.53 May 30
- 0x5449…992b SELL No $5.13 May 30
- 0xed10…d2e5 BUY No $59604.50 May 30
- 0x5ddd…0014 SELL No $299.10 May 30
- 0x5ddd…0014 BUY No $299.40 May 30
- 0x1e66…41e7 SELL Yes $0.57 May 30
- 0x5ddd…0014 BUY No $499.00 May 30
- 0x8c0d…a3ce SELL No $1.00 May 29
- 0x320f…176c SELL No $9.97 May 29
- 0xa102…2079 SELL No $47.95 May 29
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Comments
Does the year matter?
Sadly the market opened in 2026, otherwise this could have been amusing.
RIP me
He has said he will step down only when the matter reaches a final conclusion and if in the best interest of the institution. We all know Trump could nominate a potential yes-man as replacement of Powell, something he would like to avoid.
We will see, but he has said when the matter reaches a final conclusion.
He will be replaced as chair but will remain on the board of governors
i disagree
i disagree
hmm i disagree
This has to be a scam market yeah?
No it is good market, Powell's fed board officially ennds in 2028 or something like that. Historically the fed chair has always stepped down when chair position ends. However, with the trump conflict it is possible powell stays on the board after ending his position as chairman