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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$472,003 Vol.Apr 18, 2027PolyBet
Marine Le Pen
$27,269 Vol.
80%
1%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$27,582 Vol.
37%
2%
Édouard Philippe
$11,578 Vol.
33%
2%
David Lisnard
$214,382 Vol.
15%
1%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$13,243 Vol.
10%
2%
Jordan Bardella
$24,642 Vol.
7%
1%
Gabriel Attal
$8,343 Vol.
6%
Bruno Retailleau
$4,147 Vol.
5%
François Hollande
$17,444 Vol.
5%
Dominique de Villepin
$2,146 Vol.
5%
1%
Sébastien Lecornu
$3,129 Vol.
5%
François Asselineau
$1,917 Vol.
4%
Éric Zemmour
$742 Vol.
4%
Manuel Bompard
$7,286 Vol.
4%
Sarah Knafo
$6,946 Vol.
3%
1%
François Ruffin
$8,995 Vol.
3%
3%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5,793 Vol.
3%
Fabien Roussel
$8,265 Vol.
3%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$2,088 Vol.
3%
Juan Branco
$4,728 Vol.
3%
1%
Olivier Faure
$6,236 Vol.
3%
Ségolène Royal
$6,037 Vol.
3%
François Bayrou
$4,387 Vol.
3%
Gérald Darmanin
$2,782 Vol.
3%
Clémence Guetté
$3,346 Vol.
2%
Jean Castex
$3,439 Vol.
2%
Clémentine Autain
$6,032 Vol.
2%
Élisabeth Borne
$6,730 Vol.
2%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$4,796 Vol.
2%
Laurent Wauquiez
$921 Vol.
2%
Carole Delga
$11,312 Vol.
2%
Marine Tondelier
$5,159 Vol.
2%
Mathilde Panot
$1,901 Vol.
2%
Michel Barnier
$3,409 Vol.
2%
Xavier Bertrand
$1,561 Vol.
1%
Valérie Pécresse
$3,179 Vol.
1%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed can... The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/- No recent trades