Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent trades
24- 0x8bfd…02fa BUY Yes $8.00 19m ago
- 0xa255…2ffc BUY No $10.00 22m ago
- 0x7b14…785c BUY Yes $15.00 31m ago
- 0xdc76…5f55 SELL Yes $7.15 32m ago
- 0xc106…ad21 SELL Yes $5.19 2h ago
- 0x8fce…2566 SELL No $44.00 2h ago
- 0xa015…10cc BUY Yes $16.00 2h ago
- 0xac76…9359 SELL No $62.90 4h ago
- 0xaa97…55b8 BUY Yes $187.60 4h ago
- 0xc5b3…4d24 BUY Yes $402.18 5h ago
- 0x5e51…ccaa BUY Yes $1.00 6h ago
- 0x2c19…e131 BUY Yes $700.00 8h ago
- 0x9225…48cb BUY No $3.00 10h ago
- 0x4bf4…7021 SELL No $1132.22 10h ago
- 0x8fce…2566 BUY No $184.00 10h ago
- 0xb121…b73c SELL Yes $220.00 12h ago
- 0xb121…b73c SELL Yes $275.00 12h ago
- 0x12fc…3a22 BUY Yes $1.00 12h ago
- 0xf3f1…c917 SELL Yes $9.19 12h ago
- 0xd0ed…196d SELL Yes $0.64 14h ago
- 0xa667…ceb3 SELL Yes $11.03 14h ago
- 0xa0b6…3961 SELL No $339.16 14h ago
- 0xa6d1…0638 BUY Yes $10.00 15h ago
- 0x8ca7…1955 SELL Yes $1.10 15h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for December 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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