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UK election called by...?

UK Vol. $814,241 50 traders

March 310%
December 310%
June 30, 20260%
June 300%
Loading chart…
$814,241 Vol. UK

Outcomes

6
Chance
March 31 Resolved
1%
June 30 Resolved
1%
December 31 Resolved
1%
December 31, 2026
15% ▼ 1
June 30, 2027
25%
June 30, 2026 Resolved
1%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xc8ab…6418 BUY No $1538.02 Mar 31
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL Yes $0.50 Mar 31
  • 0x1d57…bd62 SELL Yes $0.49 Mar 30
  • 0x7734…05f8 BUY No $8.00 Mar 30
  • 0xbf93…6e4f BUY No $2.00 Mar 29
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL Yes $0.01 Mar 29
  • 0x2b74…5799 BUY No $5.00 Mar 29
  • 0x5d10…dca1 SELL Yes $0.01 Mar 29
  • 0x2b74…5799 BUY No $5.00 Mar 29
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL Yes $1.07 Mar 28
  • 0xc613…662b SELL Yes $0.06 Mar 28
  • 0x1228…2ea0 SELL Yes $0.39 Mar 27
  • 0x07f9…6b83 BUY No $1.30 Mar 27
  • 0xf27a…1d05 SELL Yes $0.61 Mar 27
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL Yes $0.62 Mar 27
  • 0xbf5b…23ca SELL No $5018.48 Mar 27
  • 0x5d10…dca1 SELL Yes $0.10 Mar 27
  • 0xedb4…df10 SELL Yes $0.23 Mar 27
  • 0x6e41…6d6a SELL Yes $0.29 Mar 27
  • 0xd3c4…8506 SELL Yes $0.23 Mar 27
  • 0xf9c2…56b6 SELL Yes $0.29 Mar 27
  • 0xf9c2…56b6 BUY Yes $1.17 Mar 27
  • 0xe984…ac71 BUY Yes $1.17 Mar 27
  • 0x1228…2ea0 BUY Yes $1.57 Mar 27
  • 0xe46f…783b BUY Yes $1.18 Mar 27

This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.

Comments

.tyrionx Jun 17

you know where is drop?

gurenus May 24

Can we have market for 31 December?

HughMan May 16

If Andy burnham doesn’t win the bi election, this market will go up

jakethedog12 Nov 30

Keir Starmer will resign by May 2026 (Local Elections), as other PMs have resigned due to poor local election results. However, a general election would NOT be held if he resigned, any Labour MP who takes over will see a boost in the polls - since they're not Starmer

Keir-Starmer Oct 28

A party never voluntarily gives up power in the UK until they're forced to - which would make it 2029.

AndyBurnham Mar 6

-$86.79

xlefgerx Mar 19

They are authoritarian. They will never leave.

franciis Mar 30

You're talking about Reform right?

DaemonX Aug 8

220k signed a petition calling for an immediate GE.

DaemonX Aug 8

[link removed].uk/news/petition-to-call-an-immediate-general-election-passes-100000-signatures-500062 THis one

YourMumsFundManager Sep 26

Yeah because petitions amount to much. You’ve got to know the electoral system. They only get debated and then rejected the same day unless there’s a majority approval. Why would Labour who has the majority want to call an election and then Labour MPs lose their jobs ? Bit of rationality and knowledge required here.

Cartertsu Jan 6

UK democracy is a flaw democracy. I don’t think anyone is able to overthrow the ruling party given that they (the labor party) are the majority in the parliament

Cartertsu Jan 6

They can continue to rule for the next 5 years regardless of anything that happens to the UK

ribbet Jan 6

literally the same in any westminister system i dont see what the “flaw” is

YourMumsFundManager Sep 26

Flaw is that it’s not proportionate representation like the Dutch politics. Westminster model is long out dated and favour the 2 traditional parties. However, they won’t be so keen themselves on changing it 🤣

AskarisGamba Oct 28

That assumes Starmers backbenchers dont fall out of line. If they see the writing on the wall, or an opportunity to save their seats away from Starmer's labour, they could paralyse government, eventually forcing a new GE.