Sign Up
← Markets

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Geopolitics Vol. $2,509,602 50 traders

Yes22%
No79%
$2,509,602 Vol. Geopolitics
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
18% ▼ 2

Recent trades

25
  • 0xb217…4658 SELL Yes $10.50 2h ago
  • 0x532b…132a BUY No $2.00 4h ago
  • 0x442c…3db8 BUY No $15.01 5h ago
  • 0x47e7…2ff5 SELL Yes $1.30 6h ago
  • 0x47e7…2ff5 BUY Yes $1.36 7h ago
  • 0x2721…cf8a BUY Yes $1.19 8h ago
  • 0x2721…cf8a SELL Yes $1.33 8h ago
  • 0x7770…518d BUY No $14.29 9h ago
  • 0xc754…bb99 BUY No $1.17 10h ago
  • 0x0b34…ffc3 SELL Yes $2.83 10h ago
  • 0xc550…272d BUY No $624.98 10h ago
  • 0xf3f1…c917 SELL No $23.33 12h ago
  • 0xd100…5d09 SELL Yes $1.10 14h ago
  • 0x6322…80d6 BUY No $100.00 18h ago
  • 0x9e59…a4ba SELL Yes $5.09 20h ago
  • 0x4542…2637 SELL No $19.74 20h ago
  • 0x6bbc…9e4d BUY No $5.00 22h ago
  • 0x40c5…5cba BUY Yes $11.51 22h ago
  • 0x3dbf…4b94 BUY No $5.00 23h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $44.00 23h ago
  • 0x0e7b…eba3 BUY No $643.36 23h ago
  • 0x0aad…3aa6 SELL Yes $0.79 Jul 27
  • 0x2647…2e2a SELL Yes $12.88 Jul 27
  • 0x0268…c461 BUY No $10.20 Jul 27
  • 0x232a…4895 SELL Yes $1.72 Jul 27

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not. Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify. The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments