← Markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Iran Vol. $1,448,489 50 traders

July 3114%
July 240%
August 1536%
August 3155%
$1,448,489 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

9
Chance
July 24 Resolved
1% ▼ 2
July 31
12% ▲ 2
August 15
32% ▲ 2
August 31
50% ▲ 7
July 14 Resolved
1% ▼ 1
December 31
77%
September 30
61%
October 31
71%
August 7
22%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $24.00 7s ago
  • 0x272c…7f07 SELL Yes $31.74 9s ago
  • 0xb615…73cf BUY No $330.00 15s ago
  • 0x9bf1…0089 BUY No $26.10 2m ago
  • 0x8bf1…1a87 BUY No $17.40 3m ago
  • 0xf347…346a SELL No $9.45 8m ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL Yes $46.39 10m ago
  • 0xeb77…4e6b BUY Yes $10.65 10m ago
  • 0xeb77…4e6b BUY Yes $9.99 10m ago
  • 0xeb77…4e6b BUY Yes $9.69 10m ago
  • 0xca1f…d282 BUY No $17.40 10m ago
  • 0x9453…1a48 BUY No $600.00 10m ago
  • 0x118d…67a8 BUY Yes $7.19 14m ago
  • 0x04b3…1b7e BUY No $15.00 1h ago
  • 0xd87d…52f9 BUY Yes $70.00 1h ago
  • 0x9cc9…066f BUY Yes $60.00 1h ago
  • 0x0799…725c BUY Yes $20.00 1h ago
  • 0x4591…935e BUY No $2.30 2h ago
  • 0x722b…735e BUY No $3.30 2h ago
  • 0xf718…658c BUY No $3.30 2h ago
  • 0xfc30…29ef SELL No $40.75 2h ago
  • 0x08d1…41e0 BUY Yes $1.10 2h ago
  • 0xd098…c290 SELL No $22.11 2h ago
  • 0x61af…c770 SELL No $24.99 2h ago
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $1.44 2h ago
  • 0x6206…cf4c SELL No $2.89 2h ago
  • 0xf5b0…38c4 SELL No $1.00 2h ago
  • 0x13a6…c34d SELL No $3.14 2h ago
  • 0xa057…f288 SELL No $2.64 2h ago
  • 0x6d9f…9790 SELL No $2562.99 2h ago
  • 0x122c…fbed SELL No $2.25 2h ago
  • 0x4550…6887 BUY No $0.58 3h ago
  • 0xe313…484b BUY No $2.00 3h ago
  • 0x5e73…6697 SELL Yes $170.19 3h ago
  • 0x5750…c603 BUY Yes $1.10 3h ago
  • 0x05d2…3806 BUY Yes $1.80 3h ago
  • 0xbdd0…550a BUY No $65.00 3h ago
  • 0x58c0…7c95 BUY No $19.66 3h ago
  • 0xc935…74cf SELL Yes $10.50 3h ago
  • 0x4ae8…5fc8 BUY No $2.00 3h ago

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

Comments

MEPP 4h ago

nop

InsderEpstien Jul 25

he is tacoing

adasol Jul 23

US State Department tells citizens in Middle East to prepare for potential flight cancellations due to Iran war The US State Department has issued an advisory urging US citizens in West Asia to be prepared for emergency travel situations due to potential flight cancellations and disruptions to air travel as a result of the Iran war.

adasol Jul 22

Trump says US ‘not finished at all’ as Iran attacks continue US President Donald Trump has met with Lebanese leader Joseph Aoun in Washington, DC. It was the first time a Lebanese head of state has visited the White House since 2009. While Trump hailed his relationship with Aoun, he also had strong words for Tehran.

adasol Jul 20

US begins 10th consecutive night of Iran strikes, CENTCOM says US forces began a new round of strikes against Iran at 4 p.m. ET on Monday at the direction of the commander in chief, CENTCOM said in a post on X.

adasol Jul 20

US to send additional F-16s, F-35s and refueling tankers to Mideast - CNN

clark. Jul 20

Trump's blockade of Iran at sea is a military strategy. A 10-day ceasefire with Iran, if agreed to by Trump, would actually result in Iran being under blockade during the ceasefire period. As for both a ceasefire and the lifting of the blockade, in my view, the US government will not accept such a losing proposition. If these negotiations go smoothly, the lifting of the maritime blockade may be scheduled for the next round of negotiations.

SIMOMEGA Jul 19

why is spread so high for august 15

ArieLethal Jul 18

Go to the market. Will Israel close the sky until. It's worth buying. Yes, you can make a profit.

abdoohl Jul 18

You wouldnt lie to us in order to make a profit, would you Arie?

SIMOMEGA Jul 18

uhm, wrong punctuation

Eric.Kevin Jul 17

whowho

Richdale Jul 16

are we back discussing this crap again ...whose knows what that clown will do

Heikeel1 Jul 15

perps code 01fwn6jq

RigatoniROI Jul 15

Perps code: 00aaoaac

abdoohl Jul 14

And why so long rules, why not just copy paste rules from original market? It wasnt never any problems with those rules, why reinvent the wheel??

abdoohl Jul 14

Why its US why its not Trump? Why its not Trump announce like last time, and why its ugly thumbnail, why not have same thumbnail as original market??

0xqx Jul 13

when schizophrenia talks, you listen

yungsoleimani Jul 13

you just a little kid man

yungsoleimani Jul 13

sorry i dont make the rules i just collect the money

yungsoleimani Jul 13

all the money will be cejqq’s