Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Fed Vol. $5,361 50 traders

Recent trades

40

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $1.78 13h ago
• 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 13h ago
• 0x4b8a…f4a4 SELL Yes $17.81 13h ago
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $1.10 Jul 26
• 0xc440…2e0e SELL No $1.23 Jul 26
• 0xc440…2e0e BUY No $25.00 Jul 26
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $2.00 Jul 26
• 0x6236…6881 SELL No $18.19 Jul 25
• 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $1.02 Jul 25
• 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
• 0xb3af…84fc BUY No $46.00 Jul 25
• 0xb3af…84fc BUY No $48.00 Jul 25
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $2.04 Jul 25
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $2.00 Jul 25
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $6.84 Jul 25
• 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $2.92 Jul 25
• 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $2.04 Jul 25
• 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $2.94 Jul 25
• 0x167a…91d5 SELL Yes $2.94 Jul 25
• 0x0f99…6734 SELL Yes $9.46 Jul 25
• 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $12.23 Jul 25
• 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $2.50 Jul 25
• 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $9.06 Jul 25
• 0xeca0…e8f8 BUY No $940.00 Jul 25
• 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $1.02 Jul 25
• 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
• 0x9a5f…7014 SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 25
• 0x081a…66d0 SELL No $4.46 Jul 25
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $5.71 Jul 25
• 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $1.02 Jul 25
• 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
• 0x5f3e…5337 BUY No $92.00 Jul 25
• 0x5f3e…5337 SELL Yes $6.00 Jul 25
• 0xffb1…f54e SELL Yes $11.71 Jul 25
• 0x60a8…7d37 BUY Yes $1.02 Jul 25
• 0x018a…9522 SELL Yes $1.20 Jul 25
• 0xa5cb…6cb5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 25
• 0x018a…9522 SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 25
• 0xfd47…805a BUY No $10.00 Jul 25
• 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $4.70 Jul 25

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin Warsh’s departure as Chair of the Federal Reserve of the United States is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Kevin Warsh, the Federal Reserve of the United States, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Kevin Warsh has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve of the United States. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh and the Federal Reserve of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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