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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell Vol. $1,690,682 50 traders

↓ 2.75%4%
↓ 3.0%7%
↓ 2.5%4%
↑ 5.25%3%
$1,690,682 Vol. Jerome Powell

Outcomes

21
Chance
↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 5.5%
2%
↑ 5.25%
2%
↑ 4.5%
11% ▼ 6
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.25%
31% ▼ 8
↓ 2.0%
3%
↓ 1.0%
3%
↓ 1.25%
3%
↓ 1.5%
1%
↓ 1.75%
2%
↓ 0.75%
2%
↓ 0.5%
1%
↓ 0.25%
3%
↓ 0%
2%
↓ 2.25%
4%
↓ 2.5%
3%
↓ 2.75%
3% ▲ 2
↓ 3.0%
5% ▲ 3
↓ 3.25%
11% ▲ 2
↓ 3.5% Resolved
90%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x6ed5…b480 SELL Yes $2.91 4m ago
  • 0x624b…56f8 SELL Yes $1.87 3h ago
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $1.82 4h ago
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL Yes $1.78 7h ago
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $1.77 10h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $1.78 11h ago
  • 0x442c…3db8 BUY No $20.00 12h ago
  • 0x7a5c…767b SELL Yes $2.52 12h ago
  • 0x3c3e…5a86 SELL Yes $2.55 12h ago
  • 0x624b…56f8 SELL Yes $2.55 12h ago
  • 0x442c…3db8 BUY No $5.03 12h ago
  • 0x3c3e…5a86 SELL Yes $1.86 13h ago
  • 0x912c…c28e SELL Yes $1.86 13h ago
  • 0x9d84…1344 SELL Yes $12.53 13h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $0.79 13h ago
  • 0x9d84…1344 SELL Yes $82.46 13h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $41.00 Jul 26
  • 0xa86f…022c SELL No $41.20 Jul 26
  • 0x21ff…5e2a SELL No $6.30 Jul 26
  • 0x6436…da96 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 25
  • 0xe8c4…ea5c SELL No $6.87 Jul 25
  • 0xedee…67e6 SELL No $10.66 Jul 25
  • 0x5b63…11a4 BUY No $93.03 Jul 25
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $527.22 Jul 25
  • 0xd62b…ceec SELL No $24.60 Jul 25
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $7.66 Jul 25
  • 0xa5c2…5b5f SELL No $41.21 Jul 25
  • 0xfb11…7901 SELL No $47.89 Jul 24
  • 0x54e1…9d5a BUY Yes $29.70 Jul 24
  • 0x7484…9126 SELL No $0.98 Jul 24
  • 0x918f…2e84 SELL No $0.88 Jul 24
  • 0xb3a1…7346 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 24
  • 0x45f2…722e BUY No $12.00 Jul 24
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $8.47 Jul 24
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $24.96 Jul 24
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $194.94 Jul 24
  • 0x21ff…5e2a BUY No $20.01 Jul 23
  • 0x978e…80bc BUY Yes $122.41 Jul 23
  • 0x8e42…a043 SELL Yes $1.60 Jul 23
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $41.95 Jul 23

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Comments

Jeffrey-Einstein Jul 13

why is there no 4%

whumpa Jul 9

create for 2028

.nexaro Jun 17

you know where is drop?

whumpa Mar 22

I'm cooked

SatoshiBladerunner Dec 21

Watching a massive 500k sell-wall get chipped away. The buyers here have serious capital.

chgltk Dec 15

What the hell is over here 10% of free money?

Aldrach Dec 8

It'll be a slow walk down from where we are now. They want to hit the sweet spot, not crash anything. Expect a lot of little 0.25% cuts over the next two years.