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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy Vol. $1,895,940 50 traders

$1,895,940 Vol.Dec 31, 2026PolyBet
↑ 5.0%
$20,559 Vol.
2%
↑ 5.5%
$57,344 Vol.
2%
↑ 5.25%
$142,685 Vol.
2%
↑ 4.5%
$50,807 Vol.
7% 1%
↑ 4.75%
$81,316 Vol.
5% 2%
↑ 4.25%
$149,342 Vol.
67% 4%
↓ 2.0%
$23,070 Vol.
2%
↓ 1.0%
$2,403 Vol.
2% 1%
↓ 1.25%
$5,186 Vol.
1%
↓ 1.5%
$28,371 Vol.
2%
↓ 1.75%
$13,342 Vol.
1%
↓ 0.75%
$741 Vol.
2% 1%
↓ 0.5%
$108,026 Vol.
2%
↓ 0.25%
$132,590 Vol.
3% 1%
↓ 0%
$21,358 Vol.
2%
↓ 2.25%
$42,510 Vol.
2%
↓ 2.5%
$227,410 Vol.
2%
↓ 2.75%
$373,940 Vol.
2%
↓ 3.0%
$323,724 Vol.
1%
↓ 3.25%
$82,212 Vol.
3%
↓ 3.5%
$9,003 Vol.
90%

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered....

Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 3:38 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm